La scuola delle quote

Cruz Azul v Atlas

Inizio: 2026-05-10 03:15 UTC

Finale: Cruz Azul 1–0 Atlas

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cruz Azul (Casa)

Previsione 62.02%1.61quota equa
EV -3.25%
Vantaggio -2.08%
Kelly -5.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.34%62.16%62.09%64.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.491.501.5672.46%67.23%66.67%64.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlas (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.80%6.33quota equa
EV +6.68%
Vantaggio +0.990%
Kelly +1.16%
Crescita +0.078%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.16%15.68%15.81%18.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.775.756.7520.00%17.34%17.39%14.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.18%4.51quota equa
EV +0.897%
Vantaggio +0.197%
Kelly +0.253%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.24%22.16%22.10%23.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.104.104.5527.78%24.41%24.39%21.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.44%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.32%EV +6.68%E +0.990%K +1.16%G +0.078%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.897%E +0.197%K +0.253%G +0.002%3.5%2026-05-10 02:45
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.44%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.32%EV +6.68%E +0.990%K +1.16%G +0.078%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.897%E +0.197%K +0.253%G +0.002%3.5%2026-05-10 02:44
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +2.73%E +0.420%K +0.496%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 03:10
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -10.07%E -6.95%K -22.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +2.73%E +0.420%K +0.496%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 02:39
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV +2.73%E +0.420%K +0.496%G +0.014%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 02:40
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.45%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 15.16%EV +0.518%E +0.081%K +0.097%G +0.001%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.38%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 03:09
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.71%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.37%EV -2.01%E -0.324%K -0.387%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%EV -3.54%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 14:44
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -3.59%E -0.589%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -3.54%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 02:55
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 02:50
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.76%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 02:54
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -13.17%E -9.41%K -32.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-10 02:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -13.17%E -9.41%K -32.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -20.17%E -5.60%K -7.76%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-10 02:49
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -7.97%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 03:09
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -7.97%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 03:09
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.22%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 03:05
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.33%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 02:54
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.33%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 02:55
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.06%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.46%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.48%EV -1.99%E -0.449%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:23
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.43%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.93%EV -3.09%E -0.708%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 03:09
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 02:40
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 02:54
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 02:55
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 02:54
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 02:55
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 02:55
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 02:55
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 02:29
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 02:30
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -5.76%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 02:48
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 02:54
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 02:54
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -10.07%E -6.95%K -22.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 02:29
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-10 02:40
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -9.91%E -1.74%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 03:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 02:55
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 02:54
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 02:54
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 02:04
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -8.83%E -6.01%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 02:55
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 02:25
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 02:25
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 02:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 02:25
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 61.30%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -14.63%E -3.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 02:55
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.30%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -14.63%E -3.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 02:55
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.16%EV -12.55%E -8.90%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.93%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 02:55
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 62.49%EV -14.41%E -10.44%K -37.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.83%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-10 02:55
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.40%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -14.65%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.34%EV -12.85%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 03:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.03%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 02:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.03%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 02:39
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.09%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -17.82%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 02:55
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -20.98%E -4.20%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 03:00
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -20.98%E -4.20%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -16.84%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 02:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-10 02:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-10 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-10 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-10 03:10
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-05-10 03:05
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64%1.8%2026-05-10 03:10