Language:English
Cruz Azul v Atlas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prediction 59.09%1.69fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -6.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.72%58.95%59.06%60.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.551.561.6269.93%64.41%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlas (Visit)
Prediction 17.62%5.68fair odd
EV +2.53%
Edge +0.435%
Kelly +0.525%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 5.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.32%17.65%17.62%19.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.285.305.8221.74%18.93%18.87%17.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.29%4.29fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.517%
Kelly -0.679%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.88%23.40%23.32%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.903.954.2027.78%25.63%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cruz Azul (Local): 59.09%; Atlas (Visit): 17.62%; Draw: 23.29%. For Atlas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.68. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.22%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.49%EV +2.53%E +0.435%K +0.525%G +0.013% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -8.41%E -5.43%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.30%E +0.225%K +0.273%G +0.004% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 02:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -8.41%E -5.43%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.30%E +0.225%K +0.273%G +0.004% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 02:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.53%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.46%EV -5.43%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 07:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 02:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 02:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 02:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 02:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 02:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 02:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 02:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.40%EV -2.23%E -0.401%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-23 02:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.40%EV -2.23%E -0.401%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-23 02:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.40%EV -2.23%E -0.401%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-23 02:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.45%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.45%EV -2.76%E -0.499%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%EV -2.87%E -0.688%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.11%E -0.565%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 02:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.11%E -0.565%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 02:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.11%E -0.565%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 02:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.82%EV -6.05%E -3.80%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -8.69%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 02:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.39%EV -7.82%E -5.01%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 02:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 02:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 02:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.13%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-23 00:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.93%EV -12.55%E -8.48%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -6.63%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 00:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.93%EV -12.55%E -8.48%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -6.63%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 00:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.93%EV -12.55%E -8.48%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -6.63%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 00:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 01:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.05%E -3.80%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -12.65%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 02:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -8.39%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.72%EV -7.82%E -5.01%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.79%EV -9.27%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 59.99%EV -15.50%E -10.84%K -36.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.82%EV -10.15%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.19%EV -13.82%E -3.73%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-23 00:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -6.64%E -4.20%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 02:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 21:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 02:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 02:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.65%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 06:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -13.68%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 02:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 02:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 02:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -12.65%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 02:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.86%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.20%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.94%EV -14.98%E -4.10%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -16.32%E -3.44%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 02:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -18.96%E -4.12%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 0.4% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 02:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.88% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70% | 2.5% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |