Idioma:Español
Cruz Azul v Atlas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruz Azul (Local)
Predicción 59.09%1.69momio equitativo
EV -4.27%
Ventaja -2.64%
Kelly -6.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.72%58.95%59.06%60.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.551.561.6269.93%64.41%64.10%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlas (Visitante)
Predicción 17.62%5.68momio equitativo
EV +2.53%
Ventaja +0.435%
Kelly +0.525%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.32%17.65%17.62%19.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.285.305.8221.74%18.93%18.87%17.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.29%4.29momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -0.517%
Kelly -0.679%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.88%23.40%23.32%25.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.903.954.2027.78%25.63%25.32%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cruz Azul (Local): 59.09%; Atlas (Visitante): 17.62%; Empate: 23.29%. Para Atlas (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.68. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.82, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.53%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.22%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.49%EV +2.53%E +0.435%K +0.525%G +0.013% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -8.41%E -5.43%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.30%E +0.225%K +0.273%G +0.004% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 02:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -8.41%E -5.43%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.30%E +0.225%K +0.273%G +0.004% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 02:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.53%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.46%EV -5.43%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 07:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 02:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 02:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 02:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 02:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 02:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 02:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 02:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.40%EV -2.23%E -0.401%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-23 02:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.40%EV -2.23%E -0.401%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-23 02:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.40%EV -2.23%E -0.401%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-23 02:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.45%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.45%EV -2.76%E -0.499%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%EV -2.87%E -0.688%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.11%E -0.565%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 02:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.11%E -0.565%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 02:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.11%E -0.565%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 02:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.82%EV -6.05%E -3.80%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -8.69%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 02:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.39%EV -7.82%E -5.01%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 02:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 02:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 02:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.13%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-23 00:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.93%EV -12.55%E -8.48%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -6.63%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 00:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.93%EV -12.55%E -8.48%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -6.63%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 00:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.93%EV -12.55%E -8.48%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -6.63%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 00:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 01:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.05%E -3.80%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -12.65%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 02:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -8.39%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.72%EV -7.82%E -5.01%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.79%EV -9.27%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 59.99%EV -15.50%E -10.84%K -36.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.82%EV -10.15%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.19%EV -13.82%E -3.73%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-23 00:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -6.64%E -4.20%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 02:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 21:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 02:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 02:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.65%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 06:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -13.68%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 02:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 02:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 02:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -12.65%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 02:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.86%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.20%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.94%EV -14.98%E -4.10%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -16.32%E -3.44%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 02:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -18.96%E -4.12%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 0.4% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 02:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.88% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70% | 2.5% | 2026-08-23 02:55 |