Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cruz Azul v Atlas

Początek: 2026-08-23 03:01 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Cruz Azul 0–2 Atlas

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

49 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cruz Azul (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 59.09%1.69kurs godziwy
EV -4.27%
Przewaga -2.64%
Kelly -6.89%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.72%58.95%59.06%60.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.431.551.561.6269.93%64.41%64.10%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Atlas (Goście)

Prognoza 17.62%5.68kurs godziwy
EV +2.53%
Przewaga +0.435%
Kelly +0.525%
Wzrost +0.013%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.82

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.32%17.65%17.62%19.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.605.285.305.8221.74%18.93%18.87%17.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 23.29%4.29kurs godziwy
EV -2.17%
Przewaga -0.517%
Kelly -0.679%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.88%23.40%23.32%25.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.603.903.954.2027.78%25.63%25.32%23.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Cruz Azul (Gospodarze): 59.09%; Atlas (Goście): 17.62%; Remis: 23.29%. Dla wyniku Atlas (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.68. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.82, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.53%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (49 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.22%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.49%EV +2.53%E +0.435%K +0.525%G +0.013%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 02:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -8.41%E -5.43%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.30%E +0.225%K +0.273%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 02:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -8.41%E -5.43%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.30%E +0.225%K +0.273%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 02:40
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.53%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.46%EV -5.43%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 07:59
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 02:40
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:40
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:40
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:39
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.40%EV -2.23%E -0.401%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 02:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.40%EV -2.23%E -0.401%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 02:44
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.40%EV -2.23%E -0.401%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 02:45
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.45%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.45%EV -2.76%E -0.499%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%EV -2.87%E -0.688%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 02:55
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.11%E -0.565%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 02:14
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.11%E -0.565%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 02:13
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.11%E -0.565%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 02:44
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.82%EV -6.05%E -3.80%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -8.69%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 01:59
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 02:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.39%EV -7.82%E -5.01%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 02:40
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 02:14
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 02:14
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.13%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 00:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.93%EV -12.55%E -8.48%K -26.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -6.63%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 00:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.93%EV -12.55%E -8.48%K -26.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -6.63%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 00:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.93%EV -12.55%E -8.48%K -26.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -6.63%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 00:44
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 01:39
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.05%E -3.80%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 01:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 02:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -12.65%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 02:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -8.39%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 02:55
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.72%EV -7.82%E -5.01%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.79%EV -9.27%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 02:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 59.99%EV -15.50%E -10.84%K -36.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.82%EV -10.15%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.19%EV -13.82%E -3.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-23 00:45
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -6.64%E -4.20%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 02:05
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 02:55
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 21:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 02:49
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 02:44
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.65%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 06:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 02:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -13.68%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 02:53
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 02:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 02:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 02:54
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -12.65%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 02:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 57.86%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.20%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.94%EV -14.98%E -4.10%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-23 02:55
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -16.32%E -3.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 02:19
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -18.96%E -4.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 02:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17%0.4%2026-08-23 02:55
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%0.9%2026-08-23 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%0.9%2026-08-23 02:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%0.9%2026-08-23 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%0.9%2026-08-23 02:55
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.88%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70%2.5%2026-08-23 02:55