Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cruz Azul v Atlas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 03:01 UTC

Score final : Cruz Azul 0–2 Atlas

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cruz Azul (Local)

Prévision 59.09%1.69cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -2.64%
Kelly -6.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.72%58.95%59.06%60.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.551.561.6269.93%64.41%64.10%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlas (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.62%5.68cote équitable
EV +2.53%
Avantage +0.435%
Kelly +0.525%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 5.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.32%17.65%17.62%19.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.285.305.8221.74%18.93%18.87%17.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.29%4.29cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -0.517%
Kelly -0.679%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.88%23.40%23.32%25.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.903.954.2027.78%25.63%25.32%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cruz Azul (Local) : 59.09% ; Atlas (Visiteur) : 17.62% ; Match nul : 23.29%. Pour Atlas (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.68. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.82, soit une espérance positive de +2.53%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.22%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.49%EV +2.53%E +0.435%K +0.525%G +0.013%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 02:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -8.41%E -5.43%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.30%E +0.225%K +0.273%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 02:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -8.41%E -5.43%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.30%E +0.225%K +0.273%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 02:40
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.53%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.46%EV -5.43%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 07:59
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 02:40
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:40
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:40
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:39
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.40%EV -2.23%E -0.401%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 02:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.40%EV -2.23%E -0.401%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 02:44
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.40%EV -2.23%E -0.401%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 02:45
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.45%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.45%EV -2.76%E -0.499%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%EV -2.87%E -0.688%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 02:55
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.11%E -0.565%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 02:14
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.11%E -0.565%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 02:13
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.11%E -0.565%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 02:44
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.82%EV -6.05%E -3.80%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -8.69%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 01:59
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 02:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.39%EV -7.82%E -5.01%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 02:40
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 02:14
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 02:14
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.13%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 00:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.93%EV -12.55%E -8.48%K -26.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -6.63%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 00:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.93%EV -12.55%E -8.48%K -26.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -6.63%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 00:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.93%EV -12.55%E -8.48%K -26.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -6.63%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 00:44
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 01:39
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.05%E -3.80%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 01:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 02:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -12.65%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 02:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -8.39%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 02:55
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.72%EV -7.82%E -5.01%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.79%EV -9.27%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 02:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 59.99%EV -15.50%E -10.84%K -36.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.82%EV -10.15%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.19%EV -13.82%E -3.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-23 00:45
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -6.64%E -4.20%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 02:05
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 02:55
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 21:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 02:49
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 02:44
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.65%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 06:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 02:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -13.68%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 02:53
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 02:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 02:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 02:54
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -12.65%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 02:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 57.86%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.20%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.94%EV -14.98%E -4.10%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-23 02:55
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -16.32%E -3.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 02:19
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -18.96%E -4.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 02:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17%0.4%2026-08-23 02:55
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%0.9%2026-08-23 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%0.9%2026-08-23 02:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%0.9%2026-08-23 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%0.9%2026-08-23 02:55
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.88%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70%2.5%2026-08-23 02:55