默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cruz Azul v Atlas

开赛时间: 2026-08-23 03:01 UTC

最终结果: Cruz Azul 0–2 Atlas

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cruz Azul (主队)

预测 59.09%1.69公平赔率
EV -4.27%
优势 -2.64%
Kelly -6.89%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布
56.72%58.95%59.06%60.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.551.561.6269.93%64.41%64.10%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlas (客队)

预测 17.62%5.68公平赔率
EV +2.53%
优势 +0.435%
Kelly +0.525%
增长率 +0.013%

假设最高赔率为 5.82

博彩公司预测分布
16.32%17.65%17.62%19.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.285.305.8221.74%18.93%18.87%17.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.29%4.29公平赔率
EV -2.17%
优势 -0.517%
Kelly -0.679%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
21.88%23.40%23.32%25.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.903.954.2027.78%25.63%25.32%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cruz Azul (主队):59.09%;Atlas (客队):17.62%;平局:23.29%。 对于“Atlas (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.68。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.82,对应+2.53%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.22%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.49%EV +2.53%E +0.435%K +0.525%G +0.013%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 02:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -8.41%E -5.43%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.30%E +0.225%K +0.273%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 02:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -8.41%E -5.43%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.30%E +0.225%K +0.273%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 02:40
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.53%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.46%EV -5.43%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 07:59
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 02:40
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:40
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:40
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:39
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -1.35%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 02:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.40%EV -2.23%E -0.401%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 02:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.40%EV -2.23%E -0.401%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 02:44
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.40%EV -2.23%E -0.401%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 02:45
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.45%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.45%EV -2.76%E -0.499%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%EV -2.87%E -0.688%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 02:55
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.11%E -0.565%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 02:14
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.11%E -0.565%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 02:13
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.11%E -0.565%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 02:44
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.82%EV -6.05%E -3.80%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -8.69%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 01:59
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 02:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.39%EV -7.82%E -5.01%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.00%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 02:40
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 02:14
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 02:14
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.13%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -4.87%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 00:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.93%EV -12.55%E -8.48%K -26.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -6.63%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 00:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.93%EV -12.55%E -8.48%K -26.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -6.63%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 00:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.93%EV -12.55%E -8.48%K -26.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -6.63%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 00:44
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 01:39
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.05%E -3.80%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 01:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 02:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.51%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -12.65%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 02:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -8.39%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.679%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 02:55
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.72%EV -7.82%E -5.01%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.79%EV -9.27%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 02:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 59.99%EV -15.50%E -10.84%K -36.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.82%EV -10.15%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.19%EV -13.82%E -3.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-23 00:45
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -6.64%E -4.20%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 02:05
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 02:55
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 21:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 02:49
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 02:44
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.65%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 06:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 02:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -13.68%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 02:53
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 02:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 02:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 02:54
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -12.65%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 02:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 57.86%EV -10.77%E -7.13%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.20%EV -15.44%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.94%EV -14.98%E -4.10%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-23 02:55
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -16.32%E -3.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 02:19
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -18.96%E -4.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 02:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17%0.4%2026-08-23 02:55
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%0.9%2026-08-23 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%0.9%2026-08-23 02:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%0.9%2026-08-23 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%0.9%2026-08-23 02:55
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.88%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70%2.5%2026-08-23 02:55