Language:English
Waterford FC v Drogheda United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Waterford FC (Local)
Prediction 38.61%2.59fair odd
EV +0.389%
Edge +0.149%
Kelly +0.243%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.55%38.50%38.62%39.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.402.6045.45%41.15%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Drogheda United (Visit)
Prediction 34.12%2.93fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.84%34.23%34.16%36.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.652.8441.67%37.96%37.74%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.27%3.67fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.663%
Kelly -0.920%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.19%27.27%27.22%29.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.303.5834.72%30.21%30.30%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waterford FC (Local): 38.61%; Drogheda United (Visit): 34.12%; Draw: 27.27%. For Waterford FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.389%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -1.54%E -0.605%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -1.54%E -0.605%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -15.39%E -6.20%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -16.41%E -6.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -16.41%E -6.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.26%EV -5.40%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.87%EV -3.10%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.87%EV -2.37%E -0.663%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -5.40%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -18.12%E -7.55%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -14.10%E -4.48%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.83%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.83%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.83%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -6.95%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.86%E -2.51%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.19%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -6.95%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.86%E -2.51%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.19%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.47%E -1.60%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.47%E -1.60%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-18 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.48%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.65%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.48%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.65%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-18 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-18 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -10.61%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-18 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.49%E -3.58%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.49%E -3.58%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-18 18:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-18 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-18 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-18 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-18 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-18 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.46%E -7.45%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -13.13%E -5.83%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -13.13%E -5.83%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -10.61%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -15.06%E -6.84%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |