L’École des cotes

Waterford FC v Drogheda United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 18:45 UTC

Score final : Waterford FC 2–1 Drogheda United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Waterford FC (Local)

Prévision 38.61%2.59cote équitable
EV +0.389%
Avantage +0.149%
Kelly +0.243%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.55%38.50%38.62%39.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.432.402.6045.45%41.15%41.67%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Drogheda United (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.12%2.93cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.84%34.23%34.16%36.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.632.652.8441.67%37.96%37.74%35.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.27%3.67cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -0.663%
Kelly -0.920%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.19%27.27%27.22%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.313.303.5834.72%30.21%30.30%27.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:20
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:20
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:15
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:20
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:15
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:15
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:19
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:15
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -1.54%E -0.605%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -1.54%E -0.605%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -15.39%E -6.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-18 18:15
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 18:25
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -16.41%E -6.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 18:20
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -16.41%E -6.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 18:15
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.26%EV -5.40%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.87%EV -3.10%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.87%EV -2.37%E -0.663%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 18:35
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -5.40%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -18.12%E -7.55%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -14.10%E -4.48%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-18 18:20
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.83%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 18:30
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.83%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 18:30
BetAnything2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.83%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 18:30
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -6.95%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.86%E -2.51%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.19%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 18:40
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -6.95%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.86%E -2.51%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.19%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 18:35
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.47%E -1.60%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 18:15
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.47%E -1.60%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 18:19
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 18:30
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 18:39
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.48%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 18:30
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.48%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 18:30
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 18:25
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-18 18:25
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 18:20
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -10.61%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-18 18:25
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-18 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-18 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.49%E -3.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 18:20
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.49%E -3.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 18:20
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 18:34
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-18 18:30
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 18:35
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-18 18:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 18:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 18:35
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-18 18:20
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-18 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.46%E -7.45%K -11.42%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-18 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -13.13%E -5.83%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-18 18:30
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -13.13%E -5.83%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -10.61%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-18 18:20
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -15.06%E -6.84%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-18 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-05-18 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-05-18 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-05-18 18:35
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-05-18 18:30