La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Waterford FC v Drogheda United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Waterford FC (Local)
Predicción 38.61%2.59momio equitativo
EV +0.389%
Ventaja +0.149%
Kelly +0.243%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.55%38.50%38.62%39.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.432.402.6045.45%41.15%41.67%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Drogheda United (Visitante)
Predicción 34.12%2.93momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.84%34.23%34.16%36.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.632.652.8441.67%37.96%37.74%35.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.27%3.67momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.663%
Kelly -0.920%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.19%27.27%27.22%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.313.303.5834.72%30.21%30.30%27.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -1.54%E -0.605%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -1.54%E -0.605%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -15.39%E -6.20%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -16.41%E -6.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -16.41%E -6.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.26%EV -5.40%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.87%EV -3.10%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.87%EV -2.37%E -0.663%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 18:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -5.40%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -18.12%E -7.55%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -14.10%E -4.48%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.83%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.83%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.83%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -6.95%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.86%E -2.51%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.19%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -6.95%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.86%E -2.51%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.19%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.47%E -1.60%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.47%E -1.60%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-18 18:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.48%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.65%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| Betsson | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.48%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.65%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-18 18:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-18 18:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -10.61%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-18 18:25 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.49%E -3.58%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.49%E -3.58%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-18 18:34 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-18 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-18 18:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-18 18:40 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-18 18:25 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-18 18:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.46%E -7.45%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -13.13%E -5.83%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -13.13%E -5.83%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -10.61%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -15.06%E -6.84%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 18:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |