La scuola delle quote

Waterford FC v Drogheda United

Inizio: 2026-05-18 18:45 UTC

Finale: Waterford FC 2–1 Drogheda United

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Waterford FC (Casa)

Previsione 38.61%2.59quota equa
EV +0.389%
Vantaggio +0.149%
Kelly +0.243%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.55%38.50%38.62%39.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.432.402.6045.45%41.15%41.67%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Drogheda United (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.12%2.93quota equa
EV -3.10%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.84%34.23%34.16%36.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.632.652.8441.67%37.96%37.74%35.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.27%3.67quota equa
EV -2.37%
Vantaggio -0.663%
Kelly -0.920%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.19%27.27%27.22%29.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.313.303.5834.72%30.21%30.30%27.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:20
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:20
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:15
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:20
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:15
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:15
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:19
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:15
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -1.54%E -0.605%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -1.54%E -0.605%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -15.39%E -6.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-18 18:15
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 18:25
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -16.41%E -6.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 18:20
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -16.41%E -6.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 18:15
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.26%EV -5.40%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.87%EV -3.10%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.87%EV -2.37%E -0.663%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 18:35
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -5.40%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -18.12%E -7.55%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -14.10%E -4.48%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-18 18:20
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.83%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 18:30
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.83%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 18:30
BetAnything2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.83%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 18:30
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -6.95%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.86%E -2.51%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.19%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 18:40
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -6.95%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.86%E -2.51%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.19%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 18:35
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.47%E -1.60%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 18:15
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.47%E -1.60%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 18:19
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 18:30
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 18:39
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.48%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 18:30
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.48%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 18:30
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 18:25
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-18 18:25
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 18:20
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -10.61%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-18 18:25
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-18 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-18 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.49%E -3.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 18:20
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.49%E -3.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 18:20
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 18:34
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-18 18:30
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 18:35
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-18 18:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 18:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 18:35
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-18 18:20
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-18 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.46%E -7.45%K -11.42%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-18 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -13.13%E -5.83%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-18 18:30
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -13.13%E -5.83%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -10.61%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-18 18:20
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -15.06%E -6.84%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-18 18:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-05-18 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-05-18 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-05-18 18:35
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-05-18 18:30