مدرسة الاحتمالات

Waterford FC v Drogheda United

البداية: 2026-05-18 18:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Waterford FC 2–1 Drogheda United

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Waterford FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.61%2.59السعر العادل
EV +0.389%
الأفضلية +0.149%
Kelly +0.243%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.55%38.50%38.62%39.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.432.402.6045.45%41.15%41.67%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Drogheda United (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.12%2.93السعر العادل
EV -3.10%
الأفضلية -1.09%
Kelly -1.69%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.84

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.84%34.23%34.16%36.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.632.652.8441.67%37.96%37.74%35.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.27%3.67السعر العادل
EV -2.37%
الأفضلية -0.663%
Kelly -0.920%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.19%27.27%27.22%29.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.313.303.5834.72%30.21%30.30%27.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:20
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:20
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:15
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:20
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:15
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:15
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:19
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV +0.389%E +0.149%K +0.243%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 18:15
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -1.54%E -0.605%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -1.54%E -0.605%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -15.39%E -6.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-18 18:15
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 18:25
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -16.41%E -6.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 18:20
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -16.41%E -6.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 18:15
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.26%EV -5.40%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.87%EV -3.10%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.87%EV -2.37%E -0.663%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 18:35
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -5.40%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -18.12%E -7.55%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -14.10%E -4.48%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-18 18:20
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.83%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 18:30
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.83%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 18:30
BetAnything2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.83%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 18:30
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -6.95%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.86%E -2.51%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.19%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 18:40
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -6.95%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.86%E -2.51%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.19%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 18:35
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.47%E -1.60%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 18:15
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.47%E -1.60%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 18:19
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 18:30
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 18:39
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.48%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 18:30
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.48%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 18:30
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 18:25
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-18 18:25
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 18:20
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -10.61%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-18 18:25
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-18 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-18 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.49%E -3.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 18:20
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.49%E -3.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 18:20
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 18:34
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-18 18:30
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 18:35
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-18 18:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 18:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 18:35
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-18 18:20
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-18 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.46%E -7.45%K -11.42%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-18 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -13.13%E -5.83%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -13.00%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-18 18:30
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -13.13%E -5.83%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -10.61%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-18 18:20
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -15.06%E -6.84%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-18 18:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-05-18 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-05-18 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-05-18 18:35
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-05-18 18:30