Language:English
Waterford FC v Derry City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Waterford FC (Local)
Prediction 36.09%2.77fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.944%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.42%35.98%36.08%37.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.542.7041.67%39.02%39.29%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Derry City (Visit)
Prediction 37.35%2.68fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.531%
Kelly -0.855%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.66%37.31%37.37%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.422.6444.44%40.89%41.32%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.56%3.77fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -0.839%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.52%26.71%26.55%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.393.403.6532.79%29.46%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waterford FC (Local): 36.09%; Derry City (Visit): 37.35%; Draw: 26.56%. For Derry City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.64, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -4.35%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -2.15%E -0.820%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.76%E -1.87%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -5.88%E -2.33%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 16:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -9.62%E -3.97%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -9.62%E -3.97%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -12.23%E -5.21%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -16.34%E -5.19%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.56%EV -7.00%E -2.81%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.06%E -0.839%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.50%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.94%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -8.50%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.49%E -4.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.49%E -4.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 34.47%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 37.50%EV -14.85%E -6.51%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.03%EV -19.00%E -6.23%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -12.23%E -5.21%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -15.97%E -7.10%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-14 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -13.38%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.23%E -5.21%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 18:31 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |