Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Waterford FC v Derry City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-14 18:45 UTC

Score final : Waterford FC 2–2 Derry City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Waterford FC (Local)

Prévision 36.09%2.77cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -0.944%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.42%35.98%36.08%37.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.562.542.7041.67%39.02%39.29%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Derry City (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.35%2.68cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.531%
Kelly -0.855%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.66%37.31%37.37%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.452.422.6444.44%40.89%41.32%37.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.56%3.77cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -0.839%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.52%26.71%26.55%28.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.393.403.6532.79%29.46%29.41%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Waterford FC (Local) : 36.09% ; Derry City (Visiteur) : 37.35% ; Match nul : 26.56%. Pour Derry City (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.68. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.64, pour une espérance de -1.40% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:51
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:51
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:51
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:51
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -4.35%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -2.15%E -0.820%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.76%E -1.87%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 18:15
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 18:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 16:51
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -5.88%E -2.33%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 16:25
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 16:25
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -9.62%E -3.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -9.62%E -3.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -12.23%E -5.21%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -16.34%E -5.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-14 16:51
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:41
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:41
BetUS🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:40
BetAnything🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:41
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.56%EV -7.00%E -2.81%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.06%E -0.839%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 18:39
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.50%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.94%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 18:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 18:15
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 18:15
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:25
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 18:41
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -8.50%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 18:40
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 18:30
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.49%E -4.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 18:15
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.49%E -4.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 18:15
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 18:26
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 34.47%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.50%EV -14.85%E -6.51%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.03%EV -19.00%E -6.23%K -9.27%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-14 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -12.23%E -5.21%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -15.97%E -7.10%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-14 18:19
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -13.38%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.23%E -5.21%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-14 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-09-14 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-09-14 18:31
Matchbook◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-09-14 18:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-09-14 18:41