StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Waterford FC v Derry City

Matchstart: 2026-09-14 18:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Waterford FC 2–2 Derry City

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Waterford FC (Hemma)

Prognos 36.09%2.77rättvist odds
EV -2.55%
Fördel -0.944%
Kelly -1.50%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.42%35.98%36.08%37.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.562.542.7041.67%39.02%39.29%37.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Derry City (Borta)

Prognos 37.35%2.68rättvist odds
EV -1.40%
Fördel -0.531%
Kelly -0.855%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.64

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.66%37.31%37.37%38.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.252.452.422.6444.44%40.89%41.32%37.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.56%3.77rättvist odds
EV -3.06%
Fördel -0.839%
Kelly -1.16%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.52%26.71%26.55%28.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.053.393.403.6532.79%29.46%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Waterford FC (Hemma): 36.09%; Derry City (Borta): 37.35%; Oavgjort: 26.56%. För Derry City (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.68. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.64, med väntevärdet -1.40%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:51
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:51
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:51
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:51
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -4.35%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -2.15%E -0.820%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.76%E -1.87%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 18:15
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 18:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 16:51
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -5.88%E -2.33%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 16:25
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 16:25
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -9.62%E -3.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -9.62%E -3.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -12.23%E -5.21%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -16.34%E -5.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-14 16:51
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:41
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:41
BetUS🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:40
BetAnything🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:41
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.56%EV -7.00%E -2.81%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.06%E -0.839%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 18:39
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.50%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.94%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 18:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 18:15
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 18:15
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:25
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 18:41
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -8.50%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 18:40
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 18:30
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.49%E -4.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 18:15
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.49%E -4.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 18:15
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 18:26
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 34.47%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.50%EV -14.85%E -6.51%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.03%EV -19.00%E -6.23%K -9.27%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-14 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -12.23%E -5.21%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -15.97%E -7.10%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-14 18:19
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -13.38%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.23%E -5.21%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-14 18:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-09-14 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-09-14 18:31
Matchbook◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-09-14 18:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-09-14 18:41