Idioma:Español
Waterford FC v Derry City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Waterford FC (Local)
Predicción 36.09%2.77momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -0.944%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.42%35.98%36.08%37.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.562.542.7041.67%39.02%39.29%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Derry City (Visitante)
Predicción 37.35%2.68momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.531%
Kelly -0.855%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.66%37.31%37.37%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.452.422.6444.44%40.89%41.32%37.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.56%3.77momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -0.839%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.52%26.71%26.55%28.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.393.403.6532.79%29.46%29.41%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Waterford FC (Local): 36.09%; Derry City (Visitante): 37.35%; Empate: 26.56%. Para Derry City (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.68. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.64, con un valor esperado de -1.40%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -4.35%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -2.15%E -0.820%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.76%E -1.87%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -5.88%E -2.33%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 16:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -9.62%E -3.97%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -9.62%E -3.97%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -12.23%E -5.21%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -16.34%E -5.19%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.56%EV -7.00%E -2.81%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.06%E -0.839%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.50%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.94%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -8.50%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.49%E -4.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.49%E -4.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 34.47%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 37.50%EV -14.85%E -6.51%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.03%EV -19.00%E -6.23%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -12.23%E -5.21%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -15.97%E -7.10%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-14 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -13.38%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.23%E -5.21%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 18:31 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |