Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Waterford FC v Derry City

Inizio: 2026-09-14 18:45 UTC

Finale: Waterford FC 2–2 Derry City

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Waterford FC (Casa)

Previsione 36.09%2.77quota equa
EV -2.55%
Vantaggio -0.944%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.42%35.98%36.08%37.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.562.542.7041.67%39.02%39.29%37.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Derry City (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.35%2.68quota equa
EV -1.40%
Vantaggio -0.531%
Kelly -0.855%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.66%37.31%37.37%38.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.452.422.6444.44%40.89%41.32%37.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.56%3.77quota equa
EV -3.06%
Vantaggio -0.839%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.52%26.71%26.55%28.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.393.403.6532.79%29.46%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Waterford FC (Casa): 36.09%; Derry City (Trasferta): 37.35%; Pareggio: 26.56%. Per Derry City (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.68. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.64, con un valore atteso del -1.40%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:51
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:51
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:51
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:51
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.55%E -0.944%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.38%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -4.35%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -2.15%E -0.820%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.76%E -1.87%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 18:15
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 18:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 16:51
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -5.88%E -2.33%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 16:25
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 16:25
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -9.62%E -3.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -9.62%E -3.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -12.23%E -5.21%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -16.34%E -5.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-14 16:51
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:41
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:41
BetUS🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:40
BetAnything🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.06%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -1.40%E -0.531%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:41
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.32%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.56%EV -7.00%E -2.81%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.06%E -0.839%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 18:39
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.50%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.94%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 18:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 18:15
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 18:15
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:25
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 18:41
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -8.50%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 18:40
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 18:30
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.11%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.49%E -4.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 18:15
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.49%E -4.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 18:15
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 18:26
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 34.47%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.50%EV -14.85%E -6.51%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.03%EV -19.00%E -6.23%K -9.27%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-14 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -12.23%E -5.21%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -15.97%E -7.10%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-14 18:19
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -13.38%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.23%E -5.21%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-14 18:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-09-14 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-09-14 18:31
Matchbook◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-09-14 18:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-09-14 18:41