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Shelbourne Dublin v Drogheda United

2026-09-14 18:45 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Prediction 52.73%1.90fair odd
EV -6.67%
Edge -3.77%
Kelly -8.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.14%52.73%52.73%53.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.721.741.7761.73%58.09%57.47%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Drogheda United (Visit)

Prediction 21.79%4.59fair odd
EV -6.29%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%21.79%21.79%22.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.154.244.3026.32%24.10%23.58%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.48%3.93fair odd
EV -5.74%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.44%25.48%25.48%25.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.573.633.7029.85%28.03%27.59%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 52.73%; Drogheda United (Visit): 21.79%; Draw: 25.48%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.70, with an expected value of -5.74%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:49
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:49
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:49
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:50
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:49
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -7.19%E -4.09%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.79%EV -6.73%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 19:20
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 18:49
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 18:49
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.48%EV -9.83%E -5.75%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -10.36%E -6.09%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -12.11%E -3.51%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.94%E -7.15%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-07 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.94%E -7.15%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-07 18:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.00%EV -12.47%E -7.51%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -15.01%E -3.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-07 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.63%EV -13.52%E -8.24%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.71%EV -17.19%E -4.52%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.66%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-07 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 52.51%EV -14.05%E -8.62%K -22.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.95%EV -15.01%E -3.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -14.65%E -4.37%K -6.24%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-07 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.86%EV -14.58%E -9.00%K -23.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.96%EV -15.01%E -3.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.19%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.57%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-07 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.