Language:English
Shelbourne Dublin v Drogheda United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shelbourne Dublin (Local)
Prediction 52.26%1.91fair odd
EV -0.713%
Edge -0.375%
Kelly -0.792%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.91%51.95%52.41%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.801.791.9059.17%55.64%55.87%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Drogheda United (Visit)
Prediction 21.84%4.58fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.378%
Kelly +0.481%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 4.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.35%22.03%21.76%24.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.053.904.6628.17%24.71%25.64%21.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.91%3.86fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.35%26.02%25.83%26.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.503.7031.25%28.79%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 52.26%; Drogheda United (Visit): 21.84%; Draw: 25.91%. For Drogheda United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.32%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.60%EV +1.76%E +0.378%K +0.481%G +0.008% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.66%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV +0.450%E +0.098%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.16%E -6.57%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 18:11 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.92%E -0.890%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.92%E -0.890%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -6.10%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.10%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.73%EV -6.22%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.36%EV -11.69%E -6.92%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.82%EV -7.19%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-14 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -11.16%E -6.57%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.28%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.43%EV -9.16%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-14 18:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.65%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.65%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.65%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -0.713%E -0.375%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.26%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.84%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -10.62%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 18:11 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 18:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.81%EV -10.64%E -6.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.33%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-14 18:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -18.11%E -4.83%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -19.20%E -5.19%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.21%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -19.20%E -5.19%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.21%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -19.20%E -5.19%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.21%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.91%EV -5.42%E -2.99%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -20.30%E -5.56%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.02%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.17%EV -22.48%E -6.33%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%EV -17.10%E -5.34%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-09-14 18:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.45% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |