Idioma:Español
Shelbourne Dublin v Drogheda United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shelbourne Dublin (Local)
Predicción 52.26%1.91momio equitativo
EV -0.713%
Ventaja -0.375%
Kelly -0.792%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.91%51.95%52.41%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.691.801.791.9059.17%55.64%55.87%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Drogheda United (Visitante)
Predicción 21.84%4.58momio equitativo
EV +1.76%
Ventaja +0.378%
Kelly +0.481%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.35%22.03%21.76%24.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.554.053.904.6628.17%24.71%25.64%21.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.91%3.86momio equitativo
EV -4.14%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.35%26.02%25.83%26.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.473.503.7031.25%28.79%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 52.26%; Drogheda United (Visitante): 21.84%; Empate: 25.91%. Para Drogheda United (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.58. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.66, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.76%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.32%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.60%EV +1.76%E +0.378%K +0.481%G +0.008% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.66%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV +0.450%E +0.098%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.16%E -6.57%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 18:11 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.92%E -0.890%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.92%E -0.890%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -6.10%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.10%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.73%EV -6.22%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.36%EV -11.69%E -6.92%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.82%EV -7.19%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-14 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -11.16%E -6.57%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.28%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.43%EV -9.16%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-14 18:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.65%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.65%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.65%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -0.713%E -0.375%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.26%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.84%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -10.62%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 18:11 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 18:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.81%EV -10.64%E -6.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.33%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-14 18:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -18.11%E -4.83%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -19.20%E -5.19%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.21%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -19.20%E -5.19%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.21%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -19.20%E -5.19%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.21%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.91%EV -5.42%E -2.99%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -20.30%E -5.56%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.02%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.17%EV -22.48%E -6.33%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%EV -17.10%E -5.34%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-09-14 18:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.45% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |