Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shelbourne Dublin v Drogheda United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-14 18:45 UTC

Score final : Shelbourne Dublin 1–2 Drogheda United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Prévision 52.26%1.91cote équitable
EV -0.713%
Avantage -0.375%
Kelly -0.792%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.91%51.95%52.41%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.691.801.791.9059.17%55.64%55.87%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Drogheda United (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.84%4.58cote équitable
EV +1.76%
Avantage +0.378%
Kelly +0.481%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 4.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.35%22.03%21.76%24.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.554.053.904.6628.17%24.71%25.64%21.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.91%3.86cote équitable
EV -4.14%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.35%26.02%25.83%26.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.473.503.7031.25%28.79%28.57%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shelbourne Dublin (Local) : 52.26% ; Drogheda United (Visiteur) : 21.84% ; Match nul : 25.91%. Pour Drogheda United (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.58. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.66, soit une espérance positive de +1.76%.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.32%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.60%EV +1.76%E +0.378%K +0.481%G +0.008%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.66%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV +0.450%E +0.098%K +0.125%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:20
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:20
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.16%E -6.57%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 18:11
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.92%E -0.890%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.92%E -0.890%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 18:30
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -6.10%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.10%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.73%EV -6.22%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 18:39
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.36%EV -11.69%E -6.92%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.82%EV -7.19%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-14 18:29
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -11.16%E -6.57%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-14 18:26
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.28%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.43%EV -9.16%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:39
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 18:39
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 18:31
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.65%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 18:05
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.65%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 18:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.65%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 18:40
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -0.713%E -0.375%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:05
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:05
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:06
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:05
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:06
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.26%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 18:05
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.84%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -10.62%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 18:35
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 18:35
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 18:11
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 18:11
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 18:06
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.81%EV -10.64%E -6.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.33%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-14 18:16
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -18.11%E -4.83%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -19.20%E -5.19%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.21%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -19.20%E -5.19%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.21%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -19.20%E -5.19%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.21%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.91%EV -5.42%E -2.99%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -20.30%E -5.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-14 18:06
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.02%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.17%EV -22.48%E -6.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%EV -17.10%E -5.34%K -7.77%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-14 18:06
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-09-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-09-14 18:20
Matchbook◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-09-14 18:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.45%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-09-14 18:41