Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shelbourne Dublin v Drogheda United

Início: 2026-09-14 18:45 UTC

Final: Shelbourne Dublin 1–2 Drogheda United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Previsão 52.26%1.91odd justa
EV -0.713%
Vantagem -0.375%
Kelly -0.792%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.91%51.95%52.41%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.691.801.791.9059.17%55.64%55.87%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Drogheda United (Visitante)

Previsão 21.84%4.58odd justa
EV +1.76%
Vantagem +0.378%
Kelly +0.481%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.35%22.03%21.76%24.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.554.053.904.6628.17%24.71%25.64%21.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.91%3.86odd justa
EV -4.14%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -1.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.35%26.02%25.83%26.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.473.503.7031.25%28.79%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 52.26%; Drogheda United (Visitante): 21.84%; Empate: 25.91%. Para Drogheda United (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.58. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.66, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.76%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.32%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.60%EV +1.76%E +0.378%K +0.481%G +0.008%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.66%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV +0.450%E +0.098%K +0.125%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:20
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:20
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.16%E -6.57%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 18:11
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.92%E -0.890%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.92%E -0.890%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 18:30
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -6.10%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.10%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.73%EV -6.22%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 18:39
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.36%EV -11.69%E -6.92%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.82%EV -7.19%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-14 18:29
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -11.16%E -6.57%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-14 18:26
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.28%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.43%EV -9.16%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:39
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 18:39
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 18:31
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.65%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 18:05
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.65%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 18:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.65%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 18:40
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -0.713%E -0.375%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:05
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:05
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:06
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:05
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:06
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.26%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 18:05
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.84%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -10.62%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 18:35
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 18:35
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 18:11
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 18:11
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 18:06
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.81%EV -10.64%E -6.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.33%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-14 18:16
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -18.11%E -4.83%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -19.20%E -5.19%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.21%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -19.20%E -5.19%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.21%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -19.20%E -5.19%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.21%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.91%EV -5.42%E -2.99%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -20.30%E -5.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-14 18:06
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.02%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.17%EV -22.48%E -6.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%EV -17.10%E -5.34%K -7.77%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-14 18:06
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-09-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-09-14 18:20
Matchbook◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-09-14 18:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.45%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-09-14 18:41