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Shelbourne Dublin v Drogheda United
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Shelbourne Dublin (Хозяева)
Прогноз 52.26%1.91справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.713%
Преимущество -0.375%
Kelly -0.792%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.91%51.95%52.41%54.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.691.801.791.9059.17%55.64%55.87%52.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Drogheda United (Гости)
Прогноз 21.84%4.58справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.76%
Преимущество +0.378%
Kelly +0.481%
Рост +0.008%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.66
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.35%22.03%21.76%24.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.554.053.904.6628.17%24.71%25.64%21.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.91%3.86справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.14%
Преимущество -1.12%
Kelly -1.54%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.35%26.02%25.83%26.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.473.503.7031.25%28.79%28.57%27.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Shelbourne Dublin (Хозяева): 52.26%; Drogheda United (Гости): 21.84%; Ничья: 25.91%. Для исхода «Drogheda United (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.58. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.66, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.76%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.32%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.60%EV +1.76%E +0.378%K +0.481%G +0.008% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.66%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV +0.450%E +0.098%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.16%E -6.57%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -1.73%E -0.385%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 18:11 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.92%E -0.890%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.92%E -0.890%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -6.10%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.10%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.73%EV -6.22%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.36%EV -11.69%E -6.92%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.82%EV -7.19%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-14 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -11.16%E -6.57%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.28%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.43%EV -9.16%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-14 18:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.65%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.65%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.65%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -0.713%E -0.375%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.26%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.84%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -10.62%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.84%E -3.80%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 18:11 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 18:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.81%EV -10.64%E -6.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.33%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-14 18:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -18.11%E -4.83%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.33%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -19.20%E -5.19%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.21%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -19.20%E -5.19%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.21%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -19.20%E -5.19%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.21%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.91%EV -5.42%E -2.99%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -20.30%E -5.56%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.02%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.17%EV -22.48%E -6.33%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%EV -17.10%E -5.34%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-09-14 18:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.45% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |