Language:English
Shelbourne Dublin v Derry City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shelbourne Dublin (Local)
Prediction 48.39%2.07fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -4.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.65%48.33%48.41%49.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.901.901.9755.25%52.74%52.63%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Derry City (Visit)
Prediction 22.99%4.35fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.270%
Kelly -0.352%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.42%22.93%22.99%24.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.954.004.3027.78%25.31%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.63%3.49fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -0.960%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.09%28.73%28.59%30.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.163.203.3834.72%31.61%31.25%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 48.39%; Derry City (Visit): 22.99%; Draw: 28.63%. For Derry City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.74%EV -4.68%E -2.37%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.41%EV -3.24%E -0.960%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 15:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.13%E -3.16%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.01%EV -6.45%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.72%EV -6.68%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.09%E -3.70%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.91%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.86%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -7.09%E -3.70%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 18:32 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 17:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.20%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 15:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-17 15:08 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.17%EV -9.03%E -4.80%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.60%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -14.12%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.51%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.51%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -10.48%E -5.67%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -1.16%E -0.270%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 16:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -10.48%E -5.67%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -14.12%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.89%EV -11.45%E -6.26%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -12.69%E -4.16%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.61%EV -11.45%E -6.26%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.05%EV -16.98%E -5.86%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-17 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.45%E -6.26%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -17.56%E -6.10%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.69%EV -12.42%E -6.86%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |