L’École des cotes

Shelbourne Dublin v Derry City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 18:45 UTC

Score final : Shelbourne Dublin 1–2 Derry City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Prévision 48.39%2.07cote équitable
EV -4.68%
Avantage -2.37%
Kelly -4.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.65%48.33%48.41%49.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.901.901.9755.25%52.74%52.63%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Derry City (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.99%4.35cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.270%
Kelly -0.352%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.42%22.93%22.99%24.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.954.004.3027.78%25.31%25.00%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.63%3.49cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -0.960%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.09%28.73%28.59%30.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.163.203.3834.72%31.61%31.25%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.74%EV -4.68%E -2.37%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.41%EV -3.24%E -0.960%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 15:09
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 18:34
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:20
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:20
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:15
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.13%E -3.16%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.01%EV -6.45%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.72%EV -6.68%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 18:39
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.09%E -3.70%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.91%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.86%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -7.09%E -3.70%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 18:19
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:55
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:32
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:30
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:34
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:10
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 17:59
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:00
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:34
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:10
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.20%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:09
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 18:00
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-17 15:08
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:10
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:10
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:10
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.17%EV -9.03%E -4.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.60%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 18:09
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -14.12%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.51%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-17 18:09
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.51%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-17 18:09
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-17 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -10.48%E -5.67%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -1.16%E -0.270%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 16:44
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -10.48%E -5.67%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -14.12%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-17 17:54
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.89%EV -11.45%E -6.26%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -12.69%E -4.16%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-17 18:19
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.61%EV -11.45%E -6.26%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.05%EV -16.98%E -5.86%K -8.94%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-17 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.45%E -6.26%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -17.56%E -6.10%K -9.34%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-17 17:54
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.69%EV -12.42%E -6.86%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 18:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-04-17 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-04-17 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-04-17 18:35
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-04-17 18:30