A Escola das Odds

Shelbourne Dublin v Derry City

Início: 2026-04-17 18:45 UTC

Final: Shelbourne Dublin 1–2 Derry City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Previsão 48.39%2.07odd justa
EV -4.68%
Vantagem -2.37%
Kelly -4.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.65%48.33%48.41%49.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.811.901.901.9755.25%52.74%52.63%50.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Derry City (Visitante)

Previsão 22.99%4.35odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.270%
Kelly -0.352%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.42%22.93%22.99%24.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.954.004.3027.78%25.31%25.00%23.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.63%3.49odd justa
EV -3.24%
Vantagem -0.960%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.09%28.73%28.59%30.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.163.203.3834.72%31.61%31.25%29.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.74%EV -4.68%E -2.37%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.41%EV -3.24%E -0.960%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 15:09
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 18:34
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:20
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:20
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:15
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.13%E -3.16%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.01%EV -6.45%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.72%EV -6.68%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 18:39
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.09%E -3.70%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.91%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.86%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -7.09%E -3.70%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 18:19
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:55
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:32
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:30
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:34
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:10
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 17:59
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:00
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:34
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:10
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.20%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:09
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 18:00
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-17 15:08
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:10
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:10
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:10
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.17%EV -9.03%E -4.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.60%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 18:09
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -14.12%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.51%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-17 18:09
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.51%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-17 18:09
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-17 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -10.48%E -5.67%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -1.16%E -0.270%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 16:44
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -10.48%E -5.67%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -14.12%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-17 17:54
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.89%EV -11.45%E -6.26%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -12.69%E -4.16%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-17 18:19
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.61%EV -11.45%E -6.26%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.05%EV -16.98%E -5.86%K -8.94%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-17 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.45%E -6.26%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -17.56%E -6.10%K -9.34%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-17 17:54
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.69%EV -12.42%E -6.86%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 18:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-04-17 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-04-17 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-04-17 18:35
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-04-17 18:30