La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Shelbourne Dublin v Derry City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shelbourne Dublin (Local)
Predicción 48.39%2.07momio equitativo
EV -4.68%
Ventaja -2.37%
Kelly -4.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.65%48.33%48.41%49.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.901.901.9755.25%52.74%52.63%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Derry City (Visitante)
Predicción 22.99%4.35momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.270%
Kelly -0.352%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.42%22.93%22.99%24.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.954.004.3027.78%25.31%25.00%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.63%3.49momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -0.960%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.09%28.73%28.59%30.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.163.203.3834.72%31.61%31.25%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.74%EV -4.68%E -2.37%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.41%EV -3.24%E -0.960%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 15:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.13%E -3.16%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.01%EV -6.45%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.72%EV -6.68%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.09%E -3.70%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.91%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.86%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -7.09%E -3.70%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 17:55 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 18:32 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 15:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 17:59 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Unibet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.20%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 15:09 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-17 15:08 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| Casumo | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.17%EV -9.03%E -4.80%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.60%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -14.12%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.51%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.51%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -10.48%E -5.67%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -1.16%E -0.270%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 16:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -10.48%E -5.67%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -14.12%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.89%EV -11.45%E -6.26%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -12.69%E -4.16%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.61%EV -11.45%E -6.26%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.05%EV -16.98%E -5.86%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-17 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.45%E -6.26%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -17.56%E -6.10%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.69%EV -12.42%E -6.86%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 18:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |