مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shelbourne Dublin v Derry City

البداية: 2026-04-17 18:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Shelbourne Dublin 1–2 Derry City

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shelbourne Dublin (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.39%2.07السعر العادل
EV -4.68%
الأفضلية -2.37%
Kelly -4.82%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.97

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.65%48.33%48.41%49.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.811.901.901.9755.25%52.74%52.63%50.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Derry City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.99%4.35السعر العادل
EV -1.16%
الأفضلية -0.270%
Kelly -0.352%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.42%22.93%22.99%24.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.954.004.3027.78%25.31%25.00%23.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.63%3.49السعر العادل
EV -3.24%
الأفضلية -0.960%
Kelly -1.36%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.09%28.73%28.59%30.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.163.203.3834.72%31.61%31.25%29.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.74%EV -4.68%E -2.37%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.41%EV -3.24%E -0.960%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 15:09
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 18:34
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:20
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:20
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:15
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.13%E -3.16%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.01%EV -6.45%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.72%EV -6.68%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 18:39
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.09%E -3.70%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.91%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.86%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -7.09%E -3.70%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 18:19
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 17:55
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:32
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:30
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:34
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:10
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 17:59
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:00
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:34
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:10
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.20%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:09
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 18:00
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-17 15:08
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:10
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:10
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:10
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.55%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:09
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.17%EV -9.03%E -4.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.60%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 18:09
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -14.12%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.51%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-17 18:09
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.51%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-17 18:09
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-17 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -10.48%E -5.67%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -1.16%E -0.270%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.40%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 16:44
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -10.48%E -5.67%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -14.12%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-17 17:54
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.89%EV -11.45%E -6.26%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -12.69%E -4.16%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-17 18:19
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.61%EV -11.45%E -6.26%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -10.35%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.05%EV -16.98%E -5.86%K -8.94%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-17 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.45%E -6.26%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -17.56%E -6.10%K -9.34%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-17 17:54
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.69%EV -12.42%E -6.86%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 18:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-04-17 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-04-17 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-04-17 18:35
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-04-17 18:30