Language:English
Shamrock Rovers v Waterford FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shamrock Rovers (Local)
Prediction 75.39%1.33fair odd
EV +19.87%
Edge +12.50%
Kelly +33.68%
Growth +6.69%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.65%75.43%75.57%77.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.231.231.5986.21%81.11%81.30%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Waterford FC (Visit)
Prediction 8.71%11.49fair odd
EV +13.19%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.145%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.19%8.69%8.51%11.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.2010.3610.5013.0012.20%9.65%9.52%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.90%6.29fair odd
EV +3.36%
Edge +0.517%
Kelly +0.611%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.33%15.89%15.92%31.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.945.555.506.5034.01%18.01%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 75.39%; Waterford FC (Visit): 8.71%; Draw: 15.90%. For Shamrock Rovers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.65%EV +19.87%E +12.50%K +33.68%G +6.69% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.18%EV -28.60%E -3.49%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.18%EV -53.25%E -18.11%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.03%EV -5.01%E -3.97%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV -19.03%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -6.97%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.25%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 11.74I 8.52%NM 8.12%EV +2.22%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.005% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.00%E -0.492%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -7.77%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -7.77%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.80%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +13.19%E +1.01%K +1.10%G +0.145% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.09%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.67%EV -5.97%E -0.552%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.24%EV -2.36%E -0.385%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -6.18%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -6.18%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.03%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -14.13%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +3.36%E +0.517%K +0.611%G +0.021% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +4.48%E +0.374%K +0.408%G +0.018% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.47%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -9.36%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.44%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -16.52%E -3.15%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.95%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -15.72%E -2.97%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-01 18:03 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.95%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -15.72%E -2.97%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.24%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +13.19%E +1.01%K +1.10%G +0.145% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 17:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.71%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +4.48%E +0.374%K +0.408%G +0.018% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.66%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-01 17:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -20.49%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.94%EV -10.28%E -8.64%K -54.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -25.99%E -3.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.71%EV -10.95%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.85%EV -10.28%E -8.64%K -54.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -17.28%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.90%EV -17.31%E -3.33%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.17%EV -11.04%E -9.35%K -61.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV +4.48%E +0.374%K +0.408%G +0.018% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 17:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.48%EV -11.04%E -9.35%K -61.32%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -17.28%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -14.13%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 74.77%EV -12.55%E -10.82%K -78.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.88%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -20.49%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-01 17:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.10% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.10% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.10% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |