مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shamrock Rovers v Waterford FC

البداية: 2026-05-01 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Shamrock Rovers 1–0 Waterford FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shamrock Rovers (المضيف)

التنبؤ 75.39%1.33السعر العادل
EV +19.87%
الأفضلية +12.50%
Kelly +33.68%
النمو +6.69%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.65%75.43%75.57%77.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.161.231.231.5986.21%81.11%81.30%62.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Waterford FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 8.71%11.49السعر العادل
EV +13.19%
الأفضلية +1.01%
Kelly +1.10%
النمو +0.145%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 13.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.19%8.69%8.51%11.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.2010.3610.5013.0012.20%9.65%9.52%7.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 15.90%6.29السعر العادل
EV +3.36%
الأفضلية +0.517%
Kelly +0.611%
النمو +0.021%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.33%15.89%15.92%31.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.945.555.506.5034.01%18.01%18.18%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 57.65%EV +19.87%E +12.50%K +33.68%G +6.69%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.18%EV -28.60%E -3.49%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.18%EV -53.25%E -18.11%K -27.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 18:55
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.03%EV -5.01%E -3.97%K -19.26%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV -19.03%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -6.97%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:35
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 76.25%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%11.74I 8.52%NM 8.12%EV +2.22%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.005%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.00%E -0.492%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 18:35
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -7.77%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:35
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -7.77%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:35
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:10
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.80%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +13.19%E +1.01%K +1.10%G +0.145%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 18:29
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:20
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:14
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 18:05
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.09%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.67%EV -5.97%E -0.552%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.24%EV -2.36%E -0.385%K -0.460%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:50
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -6.18%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 18:35
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -6.18%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.03%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -14.13%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 18:05
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +3.36%E +0.517%K +0.611%G +0.021%7.4%2026-05-01 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +4.48%E +0.374%K +0.408%G +0.018%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.47%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -9.36%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:55
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 74.44%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -16.52%E -3.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.95%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -15.72%E -2.97%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 18:03
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.95%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -15.72%E -2.97%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 18:04
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 18:14
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 18:14
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 77.24%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +13.19%E +1.01%K +1.10%G +0.145%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 17:20
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 75.71%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +4.48%E +0.374%K +0.408%G +0.018%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.66%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 18:30
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 18:55
BetUS1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 18:55
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 18:35
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 18:30
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-01 17:20
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-01 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -20.49%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-01 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.94%EV -10.28%E -8.64%K -54.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -25.99%E -3.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.71%EV -10.95%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 18:35
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.85%EV -10.28%E -8.64%K -54.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -17.28%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.90%EV -17.31%E -3.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 18:04
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 76.17%EV -11.04%E -9.35%K -61.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV +4.48%E +0.374%K +0.408%G +0.018%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 17:19
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 74.48%EV -11.04%E -9.35%K -61.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -17.28%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -14.13%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 18:35
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 74.77%EV -12.55%E -10.82%K -78.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.88%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -20.49%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-01 17:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.10%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.10%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.10%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.0%2026-05-01 18:14