La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Shamrock Rovers v Waterford FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shamrock Rovers (Local)
Predicción 75.39%1.33momio equitativo
EV +19.87%
Ventaja +12.50%
Kelly +33.68%
Crecimiento +6.69%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.65%75.43%75.57%77.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.231.231.5986.21%81.11%81.30%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Waterford FC (Visitante)
Predicción 8.71%11.49momio equitativo
EV +13.19%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.10%
Crecimiento +0.145%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.19%8.69%8.51%11.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.2010.3610.5013.0012.20%9.65%9.52%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 15.90%6.29momio equitativo
EV +3.36%
Ventaja +0.517%
Kelly +0.611%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.33%15.89%15.92%31.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.945.555.506.5034.01%18.01%18.18%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.65%EV +19.87%E +12.50%K +33.68%G +6.69% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.18%EV -28.60%E -3.49%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.18%EV -53.25%E -18.11%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.03%EV -5.01%E -3.97%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV -19.03%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -6.97%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.25%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 11.74I 8.52%NM 8.12%EV +2.22%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.005% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.00%E -0.492%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -7.77%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -7.77%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.80%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +13.19%E +1.01%K +1.10%G +0.145% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.09%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.67%EV -5.97%E -0.552%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.24%EV -2.36%E -0.385%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| Betsson | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -6.18%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -6.18%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.03%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -14.13%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +3.36%E +0.517%K +0.611%G +0.021% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +4.48%E +0.374%K +0.408%G +0.018% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.47%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -9.36%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.44%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -16.52%E -3.15%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.95%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -15.72%E -2.97%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-01 18:03 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.95%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -15.72%E -2.97%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.24%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +13.19%E +1.01%K +1.10%G +0.145% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 17:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.71%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +4.48%E +0.374%K +0.408%G +0.018% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.66%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Bovada | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| BetUS | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-01 17:20 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -20.49%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.94%EV -10.28%E -8.64%K -54.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -25.99%E -3.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.71%EV -10.95%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.85%EV -10.28%E -8.64%K -54.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -17.28%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.90%EV -17.31%E -3.33%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.17%EV -11.04%E -9.35%K -61.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV +4.48%E +0.374%K +0.408%G +0.018% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 17:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.48%EV -11.04%E -9.35%K -61.32%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -17.28%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -14.13%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 74.77%EV -12.55%E -10.82%K -78.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.88%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -20.49%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-01 17:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.10% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.10% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.10% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |