L’École des cotes

Shamrock Rovers v Waterford FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 19:00 UTC

Score final : Shamrock Rovers 1–0 Waterford FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prévision 75.39%1.33cote équitable
EV +19.87%
Avantage +12.50%
Kelly +33.68%
Croissance +6.69%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.65%75.43%75.57%77.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.231.231.5986.21%81.11%81.30%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Waterford FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.71%11.49cote équitable
EV +13.19%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.145%

avec la cote maximale 13.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.19%8.69%8.51%11.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.2010.3610.5013.0012.20%9.65%9.52%7.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 15.90%6.29cote équitable
EV +3.36%
Avantage +0.517%
Kelly +0.611%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.33%15.89%15.92%31.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.945.555.506.5034.01%18.01%18.18%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 57.65%EV +19.87%E +12.50%K +33.68%G +6.69%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.18%EV -28.60%E -3.49%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.18%EV -53.25%E -18.11%K -27.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 18:55
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.03%EV -5.01%E -3.97%K -19.26%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV -19.03%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -6.97%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:35
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 76.25%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%11.74I 8.52%NM 8.12%EV +2.22%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.005%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.00%E -0.492%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 18:35
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -7.77%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:35
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -7.77%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:35
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:10
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.80%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +13.19%E +1.01%K +1.10%G +0.145%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 18:29
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:20
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:14
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 18:05
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.09%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.67%EV -5.97%E -0.552%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.24%EV -2.36%E -0.385%K -0.460%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:50
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -6.18%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 18:35
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -6.18%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.03%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -14.13%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 18:05
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +3.36%E +0.517%K +0.611%G +0.021%7.4%2026-05-01 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +4.48%E +0.374%K +0.408%G +0.018%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.47%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -9.36%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:55
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 74.44%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -16.52%E -3.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.95%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -15.72%E -2.97%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 18:03
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.95%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -15.72%E -2.97%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 18:04
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 18:14
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 18:14
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 77.24%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +13.19%E +1.01%K +1.10%G +0.145%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 17:20
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 75.71%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +4.48%E +0.374%K +0.408%G +0.018%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.66%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 18:30
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 18:55
BetUS1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 18:55
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 18:35
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 18:30
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-01 17:20
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-01 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -20.49%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-01 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.94%EV -10.28%E -8.64%K -54.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -25.99%E -3.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.71%EV -10.95%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 18:35
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.85%EV -10.28%E -8.64%K -54.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -17.28%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.90%EV -17.31%E -3.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 18:04
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 76.17%EV -11.04%E -9.35%K -61.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV +4.48%E +0.374%K +0.408%G +0.018%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 17:19
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 74.48%EV -11.04%E -9.35%K -61.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -17.28%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -14.13%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 18:35
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 74.77%EV -12.55%E -10.82%K -78.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.88%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -20.49%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-01 17:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.10%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.10%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.10%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.0%2026-05-01 18:14