La scuola delle quote

Shamrock Rovers v Waterford FC

Inizio: 2026-05-01 19:00 UTC

Finale: Shamrock Rovers 1–0 Waterford FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Casa)

Previsione 75.39%1.33quota equa
EV +19.87%
Vantaggio +12.50%
Kelly +33.68%
Crescita +6.69%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.65%75.43%75.57%77.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.231.231.5986.21%81.11%81.30%62.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Waterford FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.71%11.49quota equa
EV +13.19%
Vantaggio +1.01%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescita +0.145%

ipotizzando la quota massima 13.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.19%8.69%8.51%11.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.2010.3610.5013.0012.20%9.65%9.52%7.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 15.90%6.29quota equa
EV +3.36%
Vantaggio +0.517%
Kelly +0.611%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.33%15.89%15.92%31.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.945.555.506.5034.01%18.01%18.18%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 57.65%EV +19.87%E +12.50%K +33.68%G +6.69%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.18%EV -28.60%E -3.49%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.18%EV -53.25%E -18.11%K -27.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 18:55
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.03%EV -5.01%E -3.97%K -19.26%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV -19.03%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -6.97%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:35
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 76.25%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%11.74I 8.52%NM 8.12%EV +2.22%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.005%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.00%E -0.492%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 18:35
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -7.77%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:35
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -7.77%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:35
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -8.58%E -0.817%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:05
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:10
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.80%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +13.19%E +1.01%K +1.10%G +0.145%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 18:29
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:20
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:14
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 18:05
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.09%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.67%EV -5.97%E -0.552%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.24%EV -2.36%E -0.385%K -0.460%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:50
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -6.18%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 18:35
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -6.18%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.03%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -14.13%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 18:05
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +3.36%E +0.517%K +0.611%G +0.021%7.4%2026-05-01 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +4.48%E +0.374%K +0.408%G +0.018%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.47%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -9.36%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:55
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 74.44%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -16.52%E -3.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.95%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -15.72%E -2.97%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 18:03
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.95%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -15.72%E -2.97%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 18:04
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 18:14
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.02%E -6.58%K -36.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 18:14
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 77.24%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +13.19%E +1.01%K +1.10%G +0.145%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 17:20
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 75.71%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +4.48%E +0.374%K +0.408%G +0.018%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.66%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 18:30
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 18:55
BetUS1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 18:55
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -8.78%E -7.25%K -41.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.64%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -4.59%E -0.765%K -0.918%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 18:35
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 18:30
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-01 17:20
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-01 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -9.53%E -7.94%K -47.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -12.93%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -20.49%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-01 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.94%EV -10.28%E -8.64%K -54.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -25.99%E -3.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.71%EV -10.95%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 18:35
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.85%EV -10.28%E -8.64%K -54.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -17.28%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.90%EV -17.31%E -3.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 18:04
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 76.17%EV -11.04%E -9.35%K -61.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV +4.48%E +0.374%K +0.408%G +0.018%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 17:19
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 74.48%EV -11.04%E -9.35%K -61.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -17.28%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -14.13%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 18:35
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 74.77%EV -12.55%E -10.82%K -78.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.88%EV -4.22%E -0.384%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -20.49%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-01 17:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.10%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.10%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.10%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.0%2026-05-01 18:14