Language:English
Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shamrock Rovers (Local)
Prediction 48.48%2.06fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.72%48.76%48.46%54.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.861.862.0060.61%53.85%53.62%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dundalk (Visit)
Prediction 25.21%3.97fair odd
EV +5.89%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.108%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.36%24.97%25.27%26.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.773.704.2029.41%26.56%27.03%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.31%3.80fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.358%
Kelly -0.489%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.25%26.27%26.26%27.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.493.503.7530.77%28.69%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 48.48%; Dundalk (Visit): 25.21%; Draw: 26.31%. For Dundalk (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -20.01%E -12.13%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV +5.89%E +1.40%K +1.84%G +0.108% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -2.66%E -0.719%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 11:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -13.71%E -7.70%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -14.68%E -8.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -15.64%E -8.99%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV +0.847%E +0.212%K +0.282%G +0.002% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -15.64%E -8.99%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV +0.847%E +0.212%K +0.282%G +0.002% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -1.67%E -0.429%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -1.67%E -0.429%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.31%EV -17.10%E -10.00%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -1.67%E -0.429%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -11.87%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.34%EV -3.52%E -1.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.86%EV -2.43%E -0.628%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.80%EV -5.55%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.92%E -3.60%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -5.20%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -1.34%E -0.358%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -7.47%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -6.08%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -4.01%E -2.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.50%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.69%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -14.50%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.75%EV -10.80%E -5.87%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.77%E -6.46%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 18:31 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
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