Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk

2026-08-07 19:00 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prediction 56.72%1.76fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -6.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.03%56.79%56.78%58.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.631.6864.52%61.90%61.35%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dundalk (Visit)

Prediction 19.52%5.12fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -0.477%
Kelly -0.596%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.74%19.48%19.55%20.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.704.755.0024.39%21.26%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.76%4.21fair odd
EV -4.98%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%23.73%23.67%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.803.804.0028.57%26.33%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 56.72%; Dundalk (Visit): 19.52%; Draw: 23.76%. For Dundalk (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.12. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.00, with an expected value of -2.38%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -7.26%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 20:19
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.27%E -3.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.19%E -2.22%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -12.11%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 20:19
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 56.80%EV -5.84%E -3.52%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.56%EV -5.90%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.63%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 20:30
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -5.84%E -3.52%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.77%EV -7.46%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.78%EV -6.41%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 00:14
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -6.41%E -3.88%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -9.22%E -1.98%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 19:25
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -6.41%E -3.88%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -9.22%E -1.98%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 19:25
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.89%EV -6.98%E -4.25%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.29%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -6.41%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 00:09
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.98%E -4.25%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.19%E -2.22%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -8.54%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 00:17
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -6.98%E -4.25%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -12.14%E -2.70%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.54%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-31 20:20
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.77%EV -7.54%E -4.63%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -4.34%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.77%EV -7.54%E -4.63%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -4.34%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 19:04
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 56.77%EV -7.54%E -4.63%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -4.34%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 19:05
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 56.77%EV -7.54%E -4.63%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -4.34%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.77%EV -7.54%E -4.63%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -4.34%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 19:05
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 56.77%EV -7.54%E -4.63%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -4.34%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 19:05
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.77%EV -7.54%E -4.63%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -4.34%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 19:05
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 56.77%EV -7.54%E -4.63%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -4.34%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 19:05
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 56.77%EV -7.54%E -4.63%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -4.34%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 19:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.11%E -5.01%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.38%E -0.477%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 19:40
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 56.92%EV -8.11%E -5.01%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -4.34%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 19:04
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.11%E -5.01%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -10.19%E -2.22%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-31 20:19
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.11%E -5.01%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -12.14%E -2.70%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-31 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.82%EV -9.25%E -5.78%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -6.29%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 19:05
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.07%EV -9.81%E -6.17%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -4.34%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 19:23
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.83%EV -10.38%E -6.57%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -7.26%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -12.11%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-31 19:04
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.83%EV -10.38%E -6.57%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -7.26%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -12.11%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-31 19:05
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.46%EV -10.38%E -6.57%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86%EV -18.00%E -4.29%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -12.11%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-31 19:24
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.95%E -6.97%K -19.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.26%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-31 19:25
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.13%EV -11.51%E -7.38%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.98%EV -19.95%E -4.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-31 19:25
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.03%EV -11.51%E -7.38%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.44%EV -18.00%E -4.29%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -16.86%E -4.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-31 19:24
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -12.08%E -7.79%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -10.19%E -2.22%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-31 19:19
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.77%EV -12.08%E -7.79%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -10.19%E -2.22%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-31 19:04
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 55.91%EV -12.08%E -7.79%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -15.46%E -3.57%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-31 19:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.