Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk

Início: 2026-08-07 19:00 UTC

Final: Shamrock Rovers 3–2 Dundalk

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Previsão 48.48%2.06odd justa
EV -3.04%
Vantagem -1.52%
Kelly -3.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.72%48.76%48.46%54.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.861.862.0060.61%53.85%53.62%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dundalk (Visitante)

Previsão 25.21%3.97odd justa
EV +5.89%
Vantagem +1.40%
Kelly +1.84%
Crescimento +0.108%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.36%24.97%25.27%26.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.773.704.2029.41%26.56%27.03%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.31%3.80odd justa
EV -1.34%
Vantagem -0.358%
Kelly -0.489%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.25%26.27%26.26%27.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.493.503.7530.77%28.69%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 48.48%; Dundalk (Visitante): 25.21%; Empate: 26.31%. Para Dundalk (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.97. 14 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.89%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -20.01%E -12.13%K -30.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV +5.89%E +1.40%K +1.84%G +0.108%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -2.66%E -0.719%K -0.985%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 11:35
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -13.71%E -7.70%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -14.68%E -8.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -15.64%E -8.99%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV +0.847%E +0.212%K +0.282%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -15.64%E -8.99%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV +0.847%E +0.212%K +0.282%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -1.67%E -0.429%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -1.67%E -0.429%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.31%EV -17.10%E -10.00%K -24.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -1.67%E -0.429%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -11.87%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-07 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.34%EV -3.52%E -1.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.86%EV -2.43%E -0.628%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.80%EV -5.55%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.92%E -3.60%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -5.20%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -1.34%E -0.358%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 18:55
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 18:29
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 18:30
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -7.47%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -6.08%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 18:45
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 18:55
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -4.01%E -2.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 18:55
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 18:35
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 18:50
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 18:50
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 18:45
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.50%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.69%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -14.50%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-07 18:45
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 18:29
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-07 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.75%EV -10.80%E -5.87%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-07 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.77%E -6.46%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 18:31
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 18:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-08-07 18:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-08-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-08-07 18:55
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-07 18:55