Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-07 19:00 UTC

Score final : Shamrock Rovers 3–2 Dundalk

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prévision 48.48%2.06cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -3.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.72%48.76%48.46%54.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.861.862.0060.61%53.85%53.62%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dundalk (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.21%3.97cote équitable
EV +5.89%
Avantage +1.40%
Kelly +1.84%
Croissance +0.108%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.36%24.97%25.27%26.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.773.704.2029.41%26.56%27.03%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.31%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.358%
Kelly -0.489%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.25%26.27%26.26%27.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.493.503.7530.77%28.69%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shamrock Rovers (Local) : 48.48% ; Dundalk (Visiteur) : 25.21% ; Match nul : 26.31%. Pour Dundalk (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.97. 14 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.20, soit une espérance positive de +5.89%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -20.01%E -12.13%K -30.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV +5.89%E +1.40%K +1.84%G +0.108%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -2.66%E -0.719%K -0.985%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 11:35
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -13.71%E -7.70%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -14.68%E -8.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -15.64%E -8.99%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV +0.847%E +0.212%K +0.282%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -15.64%E -8.99%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV +0.847%E +0.212%K +0.282%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -1.67%E -0.429%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -1.67%E -0.429%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.31%EV -17.10%E -10.00%K -24.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -1.67%E -0.429%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -11.87%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-07 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.34%EV -3.52%E -1.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.86%EV -2.43%E -0.628%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.80%EV -5.55%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.92%E -3.60%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -5.20%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -1.34%E -0.358%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 18:55
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 18:29
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 18:30
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -7.47%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -6.08%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 18:45
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 18:55
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -4.01%E -2.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 18:55
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 18:35
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 18:50
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 18:50
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 18:45
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.50%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.69%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -14.50%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-07 18:45
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 18:29
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-07 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.75%EV -10.80%E -5.87%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-07 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.77%E -6.46%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 18:31
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-08-07 18:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-08-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-08-07 18:55
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-07 18:55