Idioma:Español
Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shamrock Rovers (Local)
Predicción 48.48%2.06momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -3.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.72%48.76%48.46%54.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.861.862.0060.61%53.85%53.62%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Dundalk (Visitante)
Predicción 25.21%3.97momio equitativo
EV +5.89%
Ventaja +1.40%
Kelly +1.84%
Crecimiento +0.108%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.36%24.97%25.27%26.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.773.704.2029.41%26.56%27.03%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.31%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.358%
Kelly -0.489%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.25%26.27%26.26%27.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.493.503.7530.77%28.69%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 48.48%; Dundalk (Visitante): 25.21%; Empate: 26.31%. Para Dundalk (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.97. 14 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.89%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -20.01%E -12.13%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV +5.89%E +1.40%K +1.84%G +0.108% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -2.66%E -0.719%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 11:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -13.71%E -7.70%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -14.68%E -8.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -15.64%E -8.99%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV +0.847%E +0.212%K +0.282%G +0.002% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -15.64%E -8.99%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV +0.847%E +0.212%K +0.282%G +0.002% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -1.67%E -0.429%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -1.67%E -0.429%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.31%EV -17.10%E -10.00%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -1.67%E -0.429%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -11.87%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.34%EV -3.52%E -1.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.86%EV -2.43%E -0.628%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.80%EV -5.55%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.92%E -3.60%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -5.20%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -1.34%E -0.358%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -7.47%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -6.08%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -4.01%E -2.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.50%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.69%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -14.50%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.75%EV -10.80%E -5.87%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.77%E -6.46%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 18:31 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |