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Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Shamrock Rovers (Хозяева)
Прогноз 48.48%2.06справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.04%
Преимущество -1.52%
Kelly -3.04%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.72%48.76%48.46%54.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.651.861.862.0060.61%53.85%53.62%50.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Dundalk (Гости)
Прогноз 25.21%3.97справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.89%
Преимущество +1.40%
Kelly +1.84%
Рост +0.108%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.36%24.97%25.27%26.58%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.773.704.2029.41%26.56%27.03%23.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.31%3.80справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.34%
Преимущество -0.358%
Kelly -0.489%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.25%26.27%26.26%27.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.493.503.7530.77%28.69%28.57%26.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Shamrock Rovers (Хозяева): 48.48%; Dundalk (Гости): 25.21%; Ничья: 26.31%. Для исхода «Dundalk (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.97. 14 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.20, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.89%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -20.01%E -12.13%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV +5.89%E +1.40%K +1.84%G +0.108% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -2.66%E -0.719%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 11:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -13.22%E -7.39%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -13.71%E -7.70%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -14.68%E -8.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV +3.37%E +0.821%K +1.09%G +0.037% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -15.64%E -8.99%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV +0.847%E +0.212%K +0.282%G +0.002% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -15.64%E -8.99%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV +0.847%E +0.212%K +0.282%G +0.002% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -1.67%E -0.429%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -1.67%E -0.429%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.31%EV -17.10%E -10.00%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -1.67%E -0.429%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -11.87%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.34%EV -3.52%E -1.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.86%EV -2.43%E -0.628%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.80%EV -5.55%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.92%E -3.60%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -5.20%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -1.34%E -0.358%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -7.47%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -6.08%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -4.01%E -2.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.50%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.69%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -14.50%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.75%EV -10.80%E -5.87%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.77%E -6.46%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 18:31 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |