Language:English
Dundalk v Shelbourne Dublin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundalk (Local)
Prediction 37.18%2.69fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.29%37.41%37.12%40.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.412.452.6045.87%41.56%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)
Prediction 35.62%2.81fair odd
EV -0.251%
Edge -0.090%
Kelly -0.139%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.58%35.41%35.66%36.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.602.8041.67%38.02%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.583%
Kelly -0.808%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%27.17%27.22%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.353.403.6034.72%29.85%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundalk (Local): 37.18%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 35.62%; Draw: 27.19%. For Shelbourne Dublin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.251%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.13%EV -2.39%E -0.872%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -3.46%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.84%EV -5.56%E -2.19%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.27%EV -8.09%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -5.36%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.34%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.34%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.34%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -8.09%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -8.09%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.79%E -3.14%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -6.31%E -2.40%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.70%E -5.06%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.68%E -7.53%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.30%EV -14.48%E -6.30%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.02%EV -12.72%E -5.19%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.68%EV -15.70%E -5.06%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -16.34%E -7.26%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -17.09%E -7.66%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -2.03%E -0.739%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -17.09%E -7.66%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -2.03%E -0.739%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.35%EV -18.95%E -8.69%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -3.81%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |