La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Dundalk v Shelbourne Dublin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dundalk (Local)
Predicción 37.18%2.69momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -2.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.29%37.41%37.12%40.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.182.412.452.6045.87%41.56%40.82%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shelbourne Dublin (Visitante)
Predicción 35.62%2.81momio equitativo
EV -0.251%
Ventaja -0.090%
Kelly -0.139%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.58%35.41%35.66%36.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.632.602.8041.67%38.02%38.46%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.19%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -0.583%
Kelly -0.808%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.74%27.17%27.22%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.353.403.6034.72%29.85%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.13%EV -2.39%E -0.872%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -3.46%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.84%EV -5.56%E -2.19%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.27%EV -8.09%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -5.36%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.34%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.34%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.34%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -8.09%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -8.09%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.79%E -3.14%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -6.31%E -2.40%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| BetUS | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.70%E -5.06%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.68%E -7.53%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.30%EV -14.48%E -6.30%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.02%EV -12.72%E -5.19%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.68%EV -15.70%E -5.06%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -16.34%E -7.26%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -17.09%E -7.66%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -2.03%E -0.739%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -17.09%E -7.66%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -2.03%E -0.739%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.35%EV -18.95%E -8.69%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -3.81%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |