L’École des cotes

Dundalk v Shelbourne Dublin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 18:45 UTC

Score final : Dundalk 1–2 Shelbourne Dublin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dundalk (Local)

Prévision 37.18%2.69cote équitable
EV -3.33%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -2.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.29%37.41%37.12%40.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.182.412.452.6045.87%41.56%40.82%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shelbourne Dublin (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.62%2.81cote équitable
EV -0.251%
Avantage -0.090%
Kelly -0.139%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.58%35.41%35.66%36.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.632.602.8041.67%38.02%38.46%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.19%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -0.583%
Kelly -0.808%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.74%27.17%27.22%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.353.403.6034.72%29.85%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 18:19
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.13%EV -2.39%E -0.872%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -3.46%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 18:35
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 18:30
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.84%EV -5.56%E -2.19%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.27%EV -8.09%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -5.36%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 18:40
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.34%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.34%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:35
BetAnything2.52I 39.68%NM 37.34%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:34
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -8.09%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 16:55
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -8.09%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 16:50
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:34
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:24
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 18:25
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 18:20
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 18:35
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 18:20
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.79%E -3.14%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -6.31%E -2.40%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:35
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 18:34
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 16:55
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 18:30
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 18:35
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:35
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:35
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 16:24
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 18:29
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.70%E -5.06%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.68%E -7.53%K -11.53%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-01 18:04
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-01 18:19
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-01 16:50
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.30%EV -14.48%E -6.30%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.02%EV -12.72%E -5.19%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.68%EV -15.70%E -5.06%K -7.48%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-01 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -16.34%E -7.26%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -17.09%E -7.66%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -2.03%E -0.739%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-01 18:10
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -17.09%E -7.66%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -2.03%E -0.739%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-01 18:10
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.35%EV -18.95%E -8.69%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -3.81%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-05-01 18:39