La scuola delle quote

Dundalk v Shelbourne Dublin

Inizio: 2026-05-01 18:45 UTC

Finale: Dundalk 1–2 Shelbourne Dublin

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dundalk (Casa)

Previsione 37.18%2.69quota equa
EV -3.33%
Vantaggio -1.28%
Kelly -2.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.29%37.41%37.12%40.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.182.412.452.6045.87%41.56%40.82%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shelbourne Dublin (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.62%2.81quota equa
EV -0.251%
Vantaggio -0.090%
Kelly -0.139%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.58%35.41%35.66%36.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.632.602.8041.67%38.02%38.46%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.19%3.68quota equa
EV -2.10%
Vantaggio -0.583%
Kelly -0.808%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.74%27.17%27.22%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.353.403.6034.72%29.85%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 18:19
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.13%EV -2.39%E -0.872%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -3.46%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 18:35
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 18:30
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.84%EV -5.56%E -2.19%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.27%EV -8.09%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -5.36%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 18:40
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.34%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.34%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:35
BetAnything2.52I 39.68%NM 37.34%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:34
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -8.09%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 16:55
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -8.09%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 16:50
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:34
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:24
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 18:25
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 18:20
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 18:35
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 18:20
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.79%E -3.14%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -6.31%E -2.40%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:35
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 18:34
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 16:55
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 18:30
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 18:35
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:35
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:35
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 16:24
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 18:29
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.70%E -5.06%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.68%E -7.53%K -11.53%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-01 18:04
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-01 18:19
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-01 16:50
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.30%EV -14.48%E -6.30%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.02%EV -12.72%E -5.19%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.68%EV -15.70%E -5.06%K -7.48%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-01 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -16.34%E -7.26%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -17.09%E -7.66%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -2.03%E -0.739%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-01 18:10
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -17.09%E -7.66%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -2.03%E -0.739%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-01 18:10
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.35%EV -18.95%E -8.69%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -3.81%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 18:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-05-01 18:39