مدرسة الاحتمالات

Dundalk v Shelbourne Dublin

البداية: 2026-05-01 18:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Dundalk 1–2 Shelbourne Dublin

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Dundalk (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.18%2.69السعر العادل
EV -3.33%
الأفضلية -1.28%
Kelly -2.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.29%37.41%37.12%40.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.182.412.452.6045.87%41.56%40.82%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Shelbourne Dublin (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.62%2.81السعر العادل
EV -0.251%
الأفضلية -0.090%
Kelly -0.139%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.58%35.41%35.66%36.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.632.602.8041.67%38.02%38.46%35.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.19%3.68السعر العادل
EV -2.10%
الأفضلية -0.583%
Kelly -0.808%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.74%27.17%27.22%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.353.403.6034.72%29.85%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 18:19
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.13%EV -2.39%E -0.872%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -3.46%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 18:35
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 18:30
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.84%EV -5.56%E -2.19%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.27%EV -8.09%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -5.36%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 18:40
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.34%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.34%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:35
BetAnything2.52I 39.68%NM 37.34%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:34
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -8.09%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 16:55
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -8.09%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 16:50
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:34
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:24
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 18:25
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 18:20
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 18:35
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 18:20
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.79%E -3.14%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -6.31%E -2.40%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:35
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 18:34
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 16:55
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 18:30
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 18:35
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:35
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:35
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 16:24
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 18:29
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.70%E -5.06%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.68%E -7.53%K -11.53%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-01 18:04
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-01 18:19
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-01 16:50
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.30%EV -14.48%E -6.30%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.02%EV -12.72%E -5.19%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.68%EV -15.70%E -5.06%K -7.48%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-01 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:09
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -15.23%E -6.68%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -16.34%E -7.26%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -0.251%E -0.090%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -17.09%E -7.66%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -2.03%E -0.739%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-01 18:10
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -17.09%E -7.66%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -2.03%E -0.739%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-01 18:10
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.35%EV -18.95%E -8.69%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -3.81%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 18:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-05-01 18:39