Language:English
Drogheda United v Derry City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Drogheda United (Local)
Prediction 32.05%3.12fair odd
EV -0.649%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.309%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.01%31.94%32.03%32.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.922.903.1037.04%34.28%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Derry City (Visit)
Prediction 38.55%2.59fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.66%38.69%38.54%40.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.342.302.5046.08%42.73%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.40%3.40fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.62%29.38%29.42%31.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.113.103.3236.36%32.13%32.26%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Drogheda United (Local): 32.05%; Derry City (Visit): 38.55%; Draw: 29.40%. For Drogheda United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -0.649%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -0.649%E -0.210%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 19:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-07 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -14.04%E -6.29%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-07 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -14.04%E -6.29%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-07 19:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.39%EV -4.82%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.63%EV -4.01%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.98%EV -2.38%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -5.55%E -2.27%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.48%E -3.12%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 15:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -6.10%E -2.08%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.55%EV -6.71%E -2.77%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -6.42%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -6.71%E -2.77%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -6.42%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -6.71%E -2.77%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -3.63%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -2.97%E -0.901%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -3.63%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.55%E -2.27%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -16.35%E -7.53%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-07 19:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.44%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-08 15:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-08 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-08 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-08 15:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.48%E -3.12%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.48%E -3.12%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -14.73%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.50%EV -15.19%E -6.91%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.46%EV -13.26%E -4.50%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -19.14%E -6.96%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.71%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.38%EV -15.62%E -5.44%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -13.47%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |