مدرسة الاحتمالات

Drogheda United v Derry City

البداية: 2026-05-08 18:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Drogheda United 1–0 Derry City

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Drogheda United (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.05%3.12السعر العادل
EV -0.649%
الأفضلية -0.210%
Kelly -0.309%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.01%31.94%32.03%32.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.922.903.1037.04%34.28%34.48%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Derry City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.55%2.59السعر العادل
EV -3.63%
الأفضلية -1.45%
Kelly -2.42%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.66%38.69%38.54%40.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.172.342.302.5046.08%42.73%43.48%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.40%3.40السعر العادل
EV -2.38%
الأفضلية -0.718%
Kelly -1.03%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.62%29.38%29.42%31.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.113.103.3236.36%32.13%32.26%30.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -0.649%E -0.210%K -0.309%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 19:34
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:34
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:35
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:34
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:34
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:35
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:35
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:34
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:35
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:35
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 18:39
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -14.04%E -6.29%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-07 19:35
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -14.04%E -6.29%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-07 19:35
Pinnacle2.97I 33.67%NM 32.39%EV -4.82%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.63%EV -4.01%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.98%EV -2.38%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 18:40
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -5.55%E -2.27%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:34
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.48%E -3.12%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:34
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 15:44
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -6.10%E -2.08%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.55%EV -6.71%E -2.77%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:39
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -6.42%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -6.71%E -2.77%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -6.42%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -6.71%E -2.77%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -3.63%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -2.97%E -0.901%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 18:34
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -3.63%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:40
1xBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:39
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.55%E -2.27%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:34
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:40
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -16.35%E -7.53%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-07 19:34
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:40
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:39
BetAnything2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:39
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.44%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:40
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 15:44
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 15:49
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 15:44
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:34
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:39
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.48%E -3.12%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:34
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.48%E -3.12%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:34
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:39
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 18:30
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -14.73%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-08 18:40
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.50%EV -15.19%E -6.91%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.46%EV -13.26%E -4.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-08 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -19.14%E -6.96%K -10.94%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-08 18:39
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:34
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 31.71%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.38%EV -15.62%E -5.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-08 18:39
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -13.47%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-08 18:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-05-08 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-05-08 18:34