Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Drogheda United v Derry City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 18:45 UTC

Score final : Drogheda United 1–0 Derry City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Drogheda United (Local)

Prévision 32.05%3.12cote équitable
EV -0.649%
Avantage -0.210%
Kelly -0.309%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.01%31.94%32.03%32.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.922.903.1037.04%34.28%34.48%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Derry City (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.55%2.59cote équitable
EV -3.63%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.66%38.69%38.54%40.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.172.342.302.5046.08%42.73%43.48%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.40%3.40cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -0.718%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.62%29.38%29.42%31.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.113.103.3236.36%32.13%32.26%30.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Drogheda United (Local) : 32.05% ; Derry City (Visiteur) : 38.55% ; Match nul : 29.40%. Pour Drogheda United (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.12. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.10, pour une espérance de -0.649% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -0.649%E -0.210%K -0.309%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 19:34
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:34
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:35
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:35
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:35
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:35
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -14.04%E -6.29%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-07 19:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -14.04%E -6.29%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-07 19:35
Pinnacle🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.39%EV -4.82%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.63%EV -4.01%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.98%EV -2.38%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -5.55%E -2.27%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:34
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.48%E -3.12%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:34
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 15:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -6.10%E -2.08%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.55%EV -6.71%E -2.77%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:39
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -6.42%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -6.71%E -2.77%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -6.42%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -6.71%E -2.77%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -3.63%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -2.97%E -0.901%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 18:34
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -3.63%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:40
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.55%E -2.27%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:34
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -16.35%E -7.53%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-07 19:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:39
BetAnything🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:39
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.44%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:40
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 15:44
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 15:49
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 15:44
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:34
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.48%E -3.12%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:34
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.48%E -3.12%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -14.73%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-08 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.50%EV -15.19%E -6.91%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.46%EV -13.26%E -4.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-08 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -19.14%E -6.96%K -10.94%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-08 18:39
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:34
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.71%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.38%EV -15.62%E -5.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-08 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -13.47%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-05-08 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-05-08 18:34