La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Drogheda United v Derry City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Drogheda United (Local)
Predicción 32.05%3.12momio equitativo
EV -0.649%
Ventaja -0.210%
Kelly -0.309%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.01%31.94%32.03%32.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.922.903.1037.04%34.28%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Derry City (Visitante)
Predicción 38.55%2.59momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.66%38.69%38.54%40.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.342.302.5046.08%42.73%43.48%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.40%3.40momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -0.718%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.62%29.38%29.42%31.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.113.103.3236.36%32.13%32.26%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -0.649%E -0.210%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 19:34 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:34 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:35 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:35 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:35 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:35 |
| betPARX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-07 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -14.04%E -6.29%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-07 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -14.04%E -6.29%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-07 19:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.39%EV -4.82%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.63%EV -4.01%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.98%EV -2.38%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -5.55%E -2.27%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| FanDuel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.48%E -3.12%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 15:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -6.10%E -2.08%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.55%EV -6.71%E -2.77%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -6.42%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -6.71%E -2.77%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -6.42%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -6.71%E -2.77%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -3.63%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -2.97%E -0.901%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -3.63%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.55%E -2.27%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -16.35%E -7.53%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-07 19:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.44%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-08 15:44 |
| Neds | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-08 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-08 15:49 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-08 15:44 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Everygame | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.48%E -3.12%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.48%E -3.12%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -14.73%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.50%EV -15.19%E -6.91%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.46%EV -13.26%E -4.50%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -19.14%E -6.96%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.71%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.38%EV -15.62%E -5.44%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -13.47%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |