A Escola das Odds

Drogheda United v Derry City

Início: 2026-05-08 18:45 UTC

Final: Drogheda United 1–0 Derry City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Drogheda United (Local)

Previsão 32.05%3.12odd justa
EV -0.649%
Vantagem -0.210%
Kelly -0.309%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.01%31.94%32.03%32.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.922.903.1037.04%34.28%34.48%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Derry City (Visitante)

Previsão 38.55%2.59odd justa
EV -3.63%
Vantagem -1.45%
Kelly -2.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.66%38.69%38.54%40.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.172.342.302.5046.08%42.73%43.48%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.40%3.40odd justa
EV -2.38%
Vantagem -0.718%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.62%29.38%29.42%31.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.113.103.3236.36%32.13%32.26%30.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -0.649%E -0.210%K -0.309%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 19:34
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:34
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:35
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:34
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:34
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:35
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:35
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:34
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:35
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:35
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -12.11%E -5.31%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 18:39
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -14.04%E -6.29%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-07 19:35
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -14.04%E -6.29%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-07 19:35
Pinnacle2.97I 33.67%NM 32.39%EV -4.82%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.63%EV -4.01%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.98%EV -2.38%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 18:40
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -5.55%E -2.27%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:34
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.48%E -3.12%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:34
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 15:44
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -6.10%E -2.08%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.55%EV -6.71%E -2.77%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:39
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -6.42%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -6.71%E -2.77%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -6.42%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -6.71%E -2.77%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -3.63%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -2.97%E -0.901%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 18:34
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -3.63%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:40
1xBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:39
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.55%E -2.27%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:34
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:40
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -16.35%E -7.53%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-07 19:34
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:40
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:39
BetAnything2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:39
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.44%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:40
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 15:44
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 15:49
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 15:44
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:34
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:39
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.48%E -3.12%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:34
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.48%E -3.12%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:34
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:39
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -9.41%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 18:30
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -14.73%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-08 18:40
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.50%EV -15.19%E -6.91%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.46%EV -13.26%E -4.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-08 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -13.26%E -5.90%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -19.14%E -6.96%K -10.94%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-08 18:39
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.25%E -3.47%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:34
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 31.71%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.38%EV -15.62%E -5.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-08 18:39
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -13.47%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-05-08 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-05-08 18:34