语言:简体中文
V-Varen Nagasaki v Nagoya Grampus
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
V-Varen Nagasaki (主队)
预测 29.50%3.39公平赔率
EV -4.12%
优势 -1.27%
Kelly -1.83%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.25
博彩公司预测分布
28.77%29.48%29.49%30.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.103.103.2533.90%32.25%32.26%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
Nagoya Grampus (客队)
预测 44.48%2.25公平赔率
EV -3.47%
优势 -1.60%
Kelly -2.97%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.17
博彩公司预测分布
43.11%44.44%44.50%45.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.962.082.102.1751.02%48.00%47.62%46.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.01%3.84公平赔率
EV -2.44%
优势 -0.652%
Kelly -0.889%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
25.01%26.08%26.01%27.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.333.493.423.7530.03%28.68%29.20%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：V-Varen Nagasaki (主队)：29.50%；Nagoya Grampus (客队)：44.48%；平局：26.01%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.84。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.75，期望值为-2.44%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.38%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.25%E -2.47%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 11:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.72%EV -5.25%E -2.47%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.88%EV -4.27%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.44%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 10:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.44%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.18%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.87%EV -7.48%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -5.83%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 10:16 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -7.48%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -7.48%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:08 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 10:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.64%EV -11.92%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 28.94%EV -10.61%E -3.50%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.73%EV -12.81%E -6.54%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.33%EV -13.37%E -4.02%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-07 10:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 10:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 07:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -12.97%E -4.40%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -11.92%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.75% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.28% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 10:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |