Язык:Русский
V-Varen Nagasaki v Nagoya Grampus
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
V-Varen Nagasaki (Хозяева)
Прогноз 29.50%3.39справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.12%
Преимущество -1.27%
Kelly -1.83%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.77%29.48%29.49%30.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.953.103.103.2533.90%32.25%32.26%30.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Nagoya Grampus (Гости)
Прогноз 44.48%2.25справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.47%
Преимущество -1.60%
Kelly -2.97%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.17
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
43.11%44.44%44.50%45.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.962.082.102.1751.02%48.00%47.62%46.08%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.01%3.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.44%
Преимущество -0.652%
Kelly -0.889%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.01%26.08%26.01%27.14%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.333.493.423.7530.03%28.68%29.20%26.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: V-Varen Nagasaki (Хозяева): 29.50%; Nagoya Grampus (Гости): 44.48%; Ничья: 26.01%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.84. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.75, математическое ожидание — -2.44%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.38%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.25%E -2.47%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 11:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.72%EV -5.25%E -2.47%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.88%EV -4.27%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.44%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 10:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.44%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.18%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.87%EV -7.48%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -5.83%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 10:16 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -7.48%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -7.48%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:08 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 10:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.64%EV -11.92%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 28.94%EV -10.61%E -3.50%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.73%EV -12.81%E -6.54%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.33%EV -13.37%E -4.02%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-07 10:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 10:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 07:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -12.97%E -4.40%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -11.92%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.75% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.28% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 10:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |