StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

V-Varen Nagasaki v Nagoya Grampus

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 10:00 UTC

Slutresultat: V-Varen Nagasaki 2–0 Nagoya Grampus

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

V-Varen Nagasaki (Hemma)

Prognos 29.50%3.39rättvist odds
EV -4.12%
Fördel -1.27%
Kelly -1.83%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.77%29.48%29.49%30.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.953.103.103.2533.90%32.25%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Nagoya Grampus (Borta)

Prognos 44.48%2.25rättvist odds
EV -3.47%
Fördel -1.60%
Kelly -2.97%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.17

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.11%44.44%44.50%45.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.962.082.102.1751.02%48.00%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.01%3.84rättvist odds
EV -2.44%
Fördel -0.652%
Kelly -0.889%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.01%26.08%26.01%27.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.333.493.423.7530.03%28.68%29.20%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: V-Varen Nagasaki (Hemma): 29.50%; Nagoya Grampus (Borta): 44.48%; Oavgjort: 26.01%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.84. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.75, med väntevärdet -2.44%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.38%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.25%E -2.47%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 11:05
Pinnacle🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.72%EV -5.25%E -2.47%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.88%EV -4.27%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 11:25
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.44%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 10:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.44%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 10:04
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 09:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 09:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 10:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 11:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.18%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.87%EV -7.48%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -5.83%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 10:50
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 10:16
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 10:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 10:09
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -7.48%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 10:25
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 10:05
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -7.48%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:09
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 10:09
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 10:05
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 10:09
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 10:09
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:10
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:09
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:08
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:10
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:10
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:10
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:15
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:14
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 10:45
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 10:05
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 10:09
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 10:09
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.64%EV -11.92%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 10:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 28.94%EV -10.61%E -3.50%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.73%EV -12.81%E -6.54%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.33%EV -13.37%E -4.02%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-07 10:08
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 15:55
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 10:00
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 10:04
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 10:04
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 10:10
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 07:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -12.97%E -4.40%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -11.92%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 10:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 29.75%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-09-09 10:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%4.2%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%4.2%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%4.2%2026-09-09 16:51
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%5.4%2026-09-09 16:20