Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

V-Varen Nagasaki v Nagoya Grampus

Inizio: 2026-09-12 10:00 UTC

Finale: V-Varen Nagasaki 2–0 Nagoya Grampus

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

V-Varen Nagasaki (Casa)

Previsione 29.50%3.39quota equa
EV -4.12%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -1.83%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.77%29.48%29.49%30.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.103.103.2533.90%32.25%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Nagoya Grampus (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.48%2.25quota equa
EV -3.47%
Vantaggio -1.60%
Kelly -2.97%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.11%44.44%44.50%45.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.962.082.102.1751.02%48.00%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.01%3.84quota equa
EV -2.44%
Vantaggio -0.652%
Kelly -0.889%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.01%26.08%26.01%27.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.333.493.423.7530.03%28.68%29.20%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: V-Varen Nagasaki (Casa): 29.50%; Nagoya Grampus (Trasferta): 44.48%; Pareggio: 26.01%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.84. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.75, con un valore atteso del -2.44%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.38%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.25%E -2.47%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 11:05
Pinnacle🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.72%EV -5.25%E -2.47%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.88%EV -4.27%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 11:25
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.44%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 10:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.44%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 10:04
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 09:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 09:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 10:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 11:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.18%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.87%EV -7.48%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -5.83%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 10:50
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 10:16
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 10:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 10:09
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -7.48%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 10:25
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 10:05
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -7.48%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:09
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 10:09
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 10:05
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 10:09
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 10:09
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:10
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:09
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:08
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:10
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:10
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:10
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:15
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:14
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 10:45
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 10:05
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 10:09
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 10:09
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.64%EV -11.92%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 10:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 28.94%EV -10.61%E -3.50%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.73%EV -12.81%E -6.54%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.33%EV -13.37%E -4.02%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-07 10:08
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 15:55
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 10:00
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 10:04
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 10:04
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 10:10
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 07:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -12.97%E -4.40%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -11.92%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 10:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 29.75%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-09-09 10:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%4.2%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%4.2%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%4.2%2026-09-09 16:51
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%5.4%2026-09-09 16:20